Post PED Gio Looks to Forget 2016
Is the window of opportunity closing on the Washington Nationals? The Nationals have been to the MLB playoffs 3 out of the last 5 years. The Nats have yet to win a series, let alone the World Series. Washington (95-67, +0.27 betting units last year) began the 2017 campaign at home. They end a three-game set versus the Miami Marlins today. MLB Network has Thursday’s finale starting at 4:05 PM ET.
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The Marlins (79-82, 0 –6.11 units) have lower expectations than Washington for 2017. They lost ace pitcher Jose Fernandez in a fatal boating accident last September. The Marlins do have a collection of serviceable starters. Today's pitcher Tom Koehler was 9-13 last season with a 4.33 ERA in 33 starts. He is 1-2 in five career starts against the Nationals with a 4.50 ERA. Current Washington batters have a combined .870 career OPS off Koehler.
Premadonna egomaniac Bryce Harper (.814 OPS) is 11-of-32 lifetime with six homeruns and a 1.385 OPS. There is no telling how good this guy could be if he learned to respect the game. He needs to play it like it is meant to be played and forget all the garbage he brings.
Gio Gonzalez (3.76 FIP) is projected to start for the Nationals. He’s fallen to third in the rotation after a sketchy 2016 season. Washington went 14-18 in his 32 starts. That was for a loss of 10.52 betting units. Current Marlins hitters have managed only a .696 lifetime OPS versus the veteran southpaw. Gonzalez has made at least 32 starts in six of the last seven years. His ERA has risen in each of the last four seasons. Gonzalez's worsening performance has also coincided with his purported performance enhancing drug use.
MLB Betting Trends
|Miami is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games|
|Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games|
|The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games|
|Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road|
|Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road|
|Miami is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Washington|
|Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington|
|The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Washington|
|Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington|
|Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games|
|Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games|
|Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home|
|Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home|
|Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami|
|Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami|
|The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Miami|
|Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami|