MLB Odds: Can Strasburg Keep Cool Versus Cubs?

Strasburg Looks to Stifle Cubs

Are the Chicago Cubs back on the winning track? They’ve won three straight series to get over .500 at 39-38; that still leaves the Cubs 11.62 betting units in the red for 2017, but it also puts Chicago within 1.5 games of first in the National League Central. They’ll try to close that gap this week at the expense of the Washington Nationals (46-31, +2.34 units), who are miles ahead of the pack in the NL East. Game 3 of their four-game series in DC goes Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET on the MLB Network.

Oddsmakers opened the Nationals as a -170 moneyline favorite and set the total at 8.5. The line now shows the Nationals as -174 moneyline favorites and the total has held steady at 8.5.

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John Lackey (5.54 FIP) is one of the big reasons the defending World Series champions are still playing catch-up. The Cubs are 7-8 in Lackey’s 15 starts for a loss of 5.10 units; however, the veteran righty has performed better of late, allowing just one earned run over six innings in each of his last two games.

Lackey will be matched against Stephen Strasburg (3.19 FIP), one of the top pitchers in the majors. Washington is 11-4 behind Strasburg this year for 4.21 units in profit, but he’s struggled in back-to-back home games pitching in hot weather, which remains in the forecast for Wednesday.

Recent Form

Team	record	money	vs LHP	vs RHP	Fave	Dog	O/U	Diff
Chi Cubs	39-38	-$1,162.00	13-6	26-32	36-32	3-6	36-38-3	0.26
Washington	46-31	$234.00	7-5	39-26	40-24	6-7	39-35-3	1.2

Pitchers Last 3 Starts

J Lackey (5-8) ERA: 4.74

event date	Opponent	Result	score	OU Result	ip	money
Jun 23, 2017	MIA	L	0-2	U	6	-$100.00
Jun 18, 2017	PIT	W	7-1	U	6	$100.00
Jun 12, 2017	NYM	L	1-6	U	5	-$100.00

S Strasburg (8-2) ERA: 3.57

event date	Opponent	Result	score	OU Result	ip	money
Jun 23, 2017	CIN	W	6-5	O	5	$42.00
Jun 17, 2017	NYM	W	7-4	O	5.1	$58.00
Jun 12, 2017	ATL	L	10-11	O	5	-$100.00

Bullpen

Chi Cubs's relievers have pitched 10 innings in the last 3 games.
Washington's relievers have pitched 9 innings in the last 3 games.

Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent

Chicago Cubs - J Lackey

Date	score	Winner	ip	hits	Runs	Earned Runs	walks	strikeouts	Decision
Jun 14, 2016	4-3	CHC	6	4	2	2	2	7	No Decision
May 6, 2016	8-6	CHC	7	6	2	2	1	11	Win
Aug 31, 2015	8-5	STL	6	4	2	1	4	8	No Decision
Apr 22, 2015	7-5	STL	5.2	8	5	5	1	4	No Decision
Jun 23, 2008	3-2	LAA	8	6	2	1	2	6	Win

Washington Nationals - S Strasburg

Date	score	Winner	ip	hits	Runs	Earned Runs	walks	strikeouts	Decision
Jun 15, 2016	5-4	WSH	7	6	1	1	1	8	No Decision
Aug 22, 2013	5-4	WSH	8.2	7	4	4	2	8	No Decision
May 11, 2013	8-2	CHC	5	5	4	0	2	7	Loss
Apr 5, 2012	2-1	WSH	7	5	1	1	1	5	No Decision

Supergrid

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	4.62	18	4.44	9
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense	4.49	17	4.27	8
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	5.64	1	4.36	8
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense	5.59	5	4.36	11

Head To Head Detail

Date	Away	away score	Home	home score	line	O/U	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Away Hits	Home Hits	Away Walks	Home Walks	Away Strikeouts	Home Strikeouts
Jun 27, 2017	CHC	1	WSH	6	-168	7.5	U	Jake Arrieta (R)	Max Scherzer (R)	2	9	1	7	7	6
Jun 26, 2017	CHC	5	WSH	4	-148	10	U	Eddie Butler (R)	Gio Gonzalez (L)	9	12	6	1	11	8
Jun 15, 2016	CHC	4	WSH	5	-147	7.5	O	Jason Hammel (R)	Stephen Strasburg (R)	11	9	3	4	11	10
Jun 14, 2016	CHC	4	WSH	3	115	8	U	John Lackey (R)	Gio Gonzalez (L)	7	5	5	3	12	10
Jun 13, 2016	CHC	1	WSH	4	-128	7.5	U	Kyle Hendricks (R)	Max Scherzer (R)	2	10	0	5	16	5
May 8, 2016	WSH	3	CHC	4	-223	8	U	Tanner Roark (R)	Jake Arrieta (R)	11	14	10	3	9	10
May 7, 2016	WSH	5	CHC	8	-144	7.5	O	Gio Gonzalez (L)	Jason Hammel (R)	6	11	6	7	8	6
May 6, 2016	WSH	6	CHC	8	100	8.5	O	Max Scherzer (R)	John Lackey (R)	9	9	2	5	15	8
May 5, 2016	WSH	2	CHC	5	-138	7.5	U	Joe Ross (R)	Kyle Hendricks (R)	3	8	4	2	6	11
Jun 7, 2015	CHC	6	WSH	3	-139	7.5	O	Kyle Hendricks (R)	Jordan Zimmermann (R)	14	8	5	0	5	7

MLB Betting Trends

Chicago Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington

Washington Nationals
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Team Vs Division Or Conference

Chicago Cubs

	record	Home	Away	Fave	Dog	O/U	vs LHP	vs RHP
Overall	39-38	22-16	17-22	36-30	3-8	36-38-3	13-6	26-32
Last 10	6-4	2-1	4-3	4-3	2-1	1-9	4-0	2-4
vs Div	20-12	9-5	11-7	18-11	2-1	20-11-1	4-0	16-12
vs AL	1-5	0-3	1-2	1-3	0-2	3-2-1	0-3	1-2
vs NL	38-33	22-13	16-20	35-27	3-6	33-36-2	13-3	25-30

Washington Nationals

	record	Home	Away	Fave	Dog	O/U	vs LHP	vs RHP
Overall	46-31	21-16	25-15	40-23	7-8	39-35-3	7-5	39-26
Last 10	5-5	3-2	2-3	5-3	0-2	5-5	0-1	5-4
vs Div	22-15	8-7	14-8	19-12	4-3	20-15-2	2-1	20-14
vs AL	6-7	4-4	2-3	6-5	0-2	7-6	1-2	5-5
vs NL	40-24	17-12	23-12	34-18	7-6	32-29-3	6-3	34-21

Team Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	Total	starter	ip	opposing starter	Location
Jun 27, 2017	WSH	1-6	L	158	7.5	J Arrieta	4	M Scherzer	A
Jun 26, 2017	WSH	5-4	W	138	10	E Butler	5	G Gonzalez	A
Jun 25, 2017	MIA	2-4	L	-141	9	Mike Montgomery	6	E Volquez	A
Jun 24, 2017	MIA	5-3	W	-155	9	J Lester	7	Justin Nicolino	A
Jun 23, 2017	MIA	0-2	L	-113	9.5	J Lackey	6	J Urena	A

Washington Nationals

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	Total	starter	ip	opposing starter	Location
Jun 27, 2017	CHC	6-1	W	-168	7.5	M Scherzer	6	J Arrieta	H
Jun 26, 2017	CHC	4-5	L	-148	10	G Gonzalez	6	E Butler	H
Jun 25, 2017	CIN	2-6	L	-152	10	T Roark	6	S Feldman	H
Jun 24, 2017	CIN	18-3	W	-146	10	Joe Ross	7	H Bailey	H
Jun 23, 2017	CIN	6-5	W	-240	9	S Strasburg	5	Luis Castillo	H

Weather in
Washington - United States

 79°F

Mostly Sunny
Humidity is 33%
Wind is North-northwest 2 mph
Visibility is 10.004077 mi
Pressure is N/A inHg

Forecast for Washington

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