NFL Week 5 Pick- Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Green Bay had Long Week to Prepare for Dallas Cowboys

The highlight of this Sunday afternoon’s late games is a big NFC showdown between the Green Bay Packers and the Dallas Cowboys. BetAnySports has opened Dallas as a 2.5-point home favorite. The total for this 4:25 p.m. (ET) start on FOX at AT&T Stadium is set at 52.5.

The Packers have had plenty of time to prepare for this rematch from last year’s playoffs. They beatup on Chicago 35-14 last Thursday night as seven-point home favorites. They come into this game at 3-1 straight-up. The team has an even 2-2 record against the spread. The total went OVER 44 points against the Bears. It has gone OVER in their last three games. They head back on the road with a 4-2 SU record in their last six road games.

I would look for another big passing day for Aaron Rodgers this Sunday. He has thrown for 1,146 yards and 10 touchdowns in his first four games. Green Bay comes into this contest with some key injury concerns on offense with Ty Montgomery, Jamaal Williams and Davante Adams all listed as day-to-day. Adams has been Rodgers top target in the passing game and Montgomery leads the team in rushing.

Dallas Cowboys Looking for Consistent Play

Dallas came out of Sunday’s game against the Los Angeles Rams in fairly good shape from an injury standpoint, but it was still on the wrong end of a 35-30 loss at home as a five-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 2-2 both SU and ATS this season after losing just three regular season games all last year. The total has gone OVER BetAnySports’ closing line in two of their last three games. They are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games with the total going OVER in four of those contests.

It would be hard to blame the Cowboys’ offense for last Sunday’s loss after Dak Prescott threw for 252 yards and three scores while Ezekiel Elliott led a ground game that ended the day with 189 yards rushing on 27 carries. This offense is ranked 12^th in the NFL in yards per game with a solid balance between the pass and the run. The issue against the Rams was a defense that allowed over 400 yards of total offense. This unit is ranked 18^th in the league in yards allowed (339.2) and 26^th in points allowed (24.2).

My lean in this one is on the Packers both SU and ATS, but my ‘best bet’ play on BetAnySports’ betting lines is the OVER on the 52.5-point total.

Recent Form

Name	Record	ATS	Offense	Defense	Diff	ATS Home	ATS Away	OU Record	OU Home	OU Away
Green Bay	3-1	2-2	25.50	20.25	5.25	2-1	0-1	3-1	2-1	1-0
Dallas	2-2	2-2	23.50	24.25	-0.75	1-1	1-1	2-2	1-1	1-1

Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
GB	13.15	14.79	-1.64
DAL	14.61	13.99	0.62

Yards Per Pass

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
GB	9.66	10.05	-0.39
DAL	10.53	9.18	1.35

Yards Per Rush

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
GB	3.55	4.23	-0.68
DAL	4.66	4.17	0.49

Team Records

Green Bay Packers

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	3-1	3-0	0-1	2-2	2-1	0-1	25.50	20.25	5.25
vs Conf	2-1	2-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	0-1	25.00	19.00	6.00
vs Div	2-0	2-0	0-0	1-1	1-1	0-0	31.00	19.00	12.00
Last 3	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	1-1	0-1	28.33	24.00	4.33

Dallas Cowboys

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	2-2	1-1	1-1	2-2	1-1	1-1	23.50	24.25	-0.75
vs Conf	2-1	1-1	1-0	2-1	1-1	1-0	25.67	18.33	7.34
vs Div	1-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	0-0	19.00	3.00	16.00
Last 3	1-2	0-1	1-1	1-2	0-1	1-1	25.00	31.33	-6.33

Supergrid

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	25.50	8	24.25	26
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense	308.00	3	221.00	17
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense	59.00	29	101.50	17
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	23.50	14	20.25	16
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense	257.00	10	223.00	12
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense	159.00	5	141.00	28

Head To Head Summary

Name	Record	ATS	OU	Score	Rush	YPR	PA	CP	PY	TY	TO +/-
Green Bay	7-3	6-4	5-5	28.70	133.50	4.84	37.40	67.38	261.30	394.80	1.00
Dallas	3-7	4-6	5-5	22.30	126.70	5.51	32.70	61.47	234.90	361.60	1.70

Head To Head Detail

Date	Away	Home	Score	Line	Total	OU Result	ARY	APY	ATY	ATT	HRY	HPY	HTY	HTT	Away Team Attempts	Home Team Attempts	Away Team Completions	Home Team Completions
Jan 15, 2017	GB	DAL	34-31	87	327	414	1	138	291	429	1
Oct 16, 2016	DAL	GB	30-16	191	233	424	2	78	294	372	4
Dec 13, 2015	DAL	GB	7-28	171	99	270	1	230	205	435	0
Jan 11, 2015	DAL	GB	21-26	145	170	315	1	119	306	425	1
Dec 15, 2013	GB	DAL	37-36	150	283	433	1	134	332	466	2
Nov 7, 2010	DAL	GB	7-45	39	166	205	4	138	277	415	0
Nov 15, 2009	DAL	GB	7-17	61	217	278	3	105	178	283	0
Sep 21, 2008	DAL	GB	27-16	217	236	453	2	84	250	334	1
Nov 29, 2007	GB	DAL	27-37	124	233	357	2	105	309	414	1
Oct 24, 2004	DAL	GB	20-41	66	296	362	0	220	260	480	0

NFL Betting Trends

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Green Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay's last 11 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 20 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Green Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay's last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Dallas is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games when playing Green Bay
Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay

Team Last 5 Games

Green Bay Packers

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Sep 28, 2017	CHI	35-14	W	-7/44	W/O	91	169	260	103	205	308	-4	H
Sep 24, 2017	CIN	27-24	W	-7/47.5	L/O	64	280	344	110	191	301	0	H
Sep 17, 2017	ATL	23-34	L	3/55	L/O	59	308	367	141	223	364	2	A
Sep 10, 2017	SEA	17-9	W	-2.5/49.5	W/U	84	286	370	90	135	225	0	H
Jan 22, 2017	ATL	21-44	L	6.5/59.5	L/O	99	268	367	101	392	493	2	A

Dallas Cowboys

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Oct 1, 2017	LAR	30-35	L	-5/50.5	L/O	189	251	440	168	244	412	2	H
Sep 25, 2017	ARI	28-17	W	-3/46	W/U	99	174	273	49	283	332	0	A
Sep 17, 2017	DEN	17-42	L	-2.5/44	L/O	40	228	268	178	202	380	0	A
Sep 10, 2017	NYG	19-3	W	-6/46	W/U	129	263	392	35	198	233	-1	H
Jan 15, 2017	GB	31-34	L	-5/52.5	L/O	138	291	429	87	327	414	0	H

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