Dirty's Online Gambling Headlines: NFL Wildcard Sunday: Jaguars Big Faves Over Bills

NFL Wildcard Sunday Has Two Cinderella's in AFC Matchup

The Buffalo Bills and the Jacksonville Jaguars will battle on NFL Wildcard Sunday at EverBank Field. This AFC Wildcard matchup will kickoff at 1 pm EST on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened the Jaguars as -6.5-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game's total opened at 41. The Jags are now 8-point favorites and the total is down to 40.

Their is definitely going to be a potential Cinderella Story coming out of today's AFC Wildcard matchup. Will the winner become a fan favorite throughout the playoffs?

Does that matter in this Era of bad NFL Football and parity throughout the league where every team virtually has a shot to make the playoffs every year? The Quality of football played in the NFL today is awful and a shadow of what it was just a few years ago.

The Jaguars won their first-ever AFC South title. They are in the playoffs for the first time since 2007. The team will host their first playoff game since 1999. Jacksonville was an NFL-worst 17-63 over the previous five seasons.

The Bills snapped a playoff drought that dated back to 1999. They are the final wild-card team in the AFC. Buffalo qualified with a win over Miami in the regular-season finale.

Do Jaguars Have Extra Motivation on NFL Wildcard Sunday?

Jaguars first-year coach Doug Marrone coached the Bills in 2013-14. He opted out of his contract and walked away with a $4 million buyout when Buffalo changed ownership. Will this motivate the Jaguars?

Marrone was hired by former Jaguars coach Gus Bradley to be the offensive line coach. Marrone served as the interim coach for two games after Bradley was fired and was promoted to head coach last January. There are only six players on the roster that played under Marrone.

The two teams also completed a trade prior to the NFL trade deadline. The Bills sent defensive tackle Marcell Dareus to the Jags for a 2018 fifth-round draft pick. The Jaguars had the worst run defense in the NFL when they made the move and ended up finishing 21st.

Bills Don't Matchup Well in NFL Wildcard Round

The Bills don't seem to match up well with the Jags if you look at the stats. They rank 30th in sacks allowed and are 29th in total offense.

The Jaguars defense ranks first in the NFL in yards-per-play, pass defense and interceptions. They are ranked second in total defense, sacks and scoring defense.

They could be in line for another dominant outing. If Bills star running back LeSean McCoy can't play after injuring his ankle Sunday it could spell doom for the Bills. McCoy carried the ball 287 times for 1,138 yards with six touchdowns this season. He has a team-high 59 catches for 448 yards and two scores.

Tyrod Taylor is the team's second-leading rusher with 427 yards and four touchdowns. Mike Tolbert would likely fill in for McCoy and has 247 yards rushing this season. He is a pdeliberate runner compared to the quickness of McCoy. Marcus Murphy made his season debut on Sunda. He rushed for 41 yards. He has eight career carries in the NFL.

McCoy did not practice Wednesday. McCoy's absence would put a lot of pressure on Taylor and the Bills' 31st ranked passing offense.

Buffalo ranks 30th in stopping the run this season. That should give the Jags offense hope after two consecutive losses to end the regular season. The Jaguars lead the NFL in rushing offense and are fifth in scoring.

Point differential is what separates the teams. The Jaguars are plus-149. That's second best in the AFC behind New England. Buffalo is minus-57. There are nine teams that didn't qualify for the playoffs with a better number.

Name	Record	ATS	Offense	Defense	Diff	ATS Home	ATS Away	OU Record	OU Home	OU Away
Buffalo	9-7	8-6-2	18.88	22.44	-3.56	5-2-1	3-4-1	8-8	5-3	3-5
Jacksonville	10-6	9-7	26.06	16.75	9.31	5-3	4-4	8-8	5-3	3-5

Yards Per Point

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
BUF	16.03	15.83	0.2
JAC	14.04	17.08	-3.04

Yards Per Pass

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
BUF	9.78	9.97	-0.19
JAC	11.37	9.40	1.97

Yards Per Rush

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
BUF	4.14	4.28	-0.14
JAC	4.30	4.34	-0.04

Buffalo Bills

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	9-7	6-2	3-5	8-6-2	5-2-1	3-4-1	18.88	22.44	-3.56
vs Conf	7-5	5-1	2-4	7-5	5-1	2-4	19.67	21.58	-1.91
vs Div	1-2	0-0	1-2	1-2	0-0	1-2	19.67	29.00	-9.33
Last 3	2-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1-0	1-1	20.67	23.00	-2.33

Jacksonville Jaguars

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	10-6	6-2	4-4	9-7	5-3	4-4	26.06	16.75	9.31
vs Conf	9-3	5-1	4-2	8-4	4-2	4-2	26.08	12.17	13.91
vs Div	2-1	0-0	2-1	2-1	0-0	2-1	22.00	7.33	14.67
Last 3	1-2	1-0	0-2	1-2	1-0	0-2	29.33	22.00	7.33

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	18.88	22	16.75	2
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense	183.25	28	154.00	1
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense	102.25	19	117.50	26
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	26.06	5	22.44	18
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense	265.13	5	228.13	17
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense	138.50	6	121.50	23

Name	Record	ATS	OU	Score	Rush	YPR	PA	CP	PY	TY	TO +/-
Buffalo	5-5	5-5	7-3	23.20	119.70	4.06	28.10	65.84	190.60	310.30	1.80
Jacksonville	5-5	5-5	7-3	23.60	134.20	4.43	30.60	57.84	174.20	308.40	1.80

Date	Away	Home	Score	Line	Total	OU Result	ARY	APY	ATY	ATT	HRY
Nov 27, 2016	JAC	BUF	21-28	183	118	301	0	153	151	304	0
Oct 25, 2015	BUF	JAC	31-34	115	260	375	4	120	175	295	1
Dec 15, 2013	BUF	JAC	27-20	198	168	366	2	159	195	354	4
Dec 2, 2012	JAC	BUF	18-34	50	186	236	2	232	112	344	2
Oct 10, 2010	JAC	BUF	36-26	216	165	381	3	110	196	306	0
Nov 22, 2009	BUF	JAC	15-18	53	290	343	3	102	208	310	2
Sep 14, 2008	BUF	JAC	20-16	75	210	285	1	98	145	243	2
Nov 25, 2007	BUF	JAC	14-36	94	203	297	3	124	292	416	1
Nov 26, 2006	JAC	BUF	24-27	207	116	323	1	72	169	241	1
Sep 12, 2004	JAC	BUF	13-10	83	142	225	2	95	147	242	2

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Buffalo Bills

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Dec 31, 2017	MIA	22-16	W	-2/41	W/U	126	186	312	93	263	356	-1	A
Dec 24, 2017	NE	16-37	L	10.5/47.5	L/O	84	242	326	193	218	411	-1	A
Dec 17, 2017	MIA	24-16	W	-3.5/39.5	W/O	116	212	328	100	249	349	-3	H
Dec 10, 2017	IND	13-7	W	-3/37	W/U	227	92	319	163	64	227	2	H
Dec 3, 2017	NE	3-23	L	7.5/49	L/U	183	85	268	191	244	435	0	H

Jacksonville Jaguars

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Dec 31, 2017	TEN	10-15	L	2.5/40	L/U	83	146	229	116	116	232	3	A
Dec 24, 2017	SF	33-44	L	-4/43	L/O	92	380	472	131	238	369	2	A
Dec 17, 2017	HOU	45-7	W	-10.5/39	W/O	138	326	464	87	99	186	-1	H
Dec 10, 2017	SEA	30-24	W	-2.5/41	W/O	157	268	425	141	260	401	-2	H
Dec 3, 2017	IND	30-10	W	-10/41	W/U	96	330	426	141	149	290	-2	H