Super Bowl LII Preview and Pick- Philadelphia vs. New England

David vs. Goliath in Super Bowl LII

The top seed in each NFL conference squares off against one another this Sunday in Super Bowl LII. The Philadelphia Eagles face the New England Patriots. Game time on NBC from US Bank Stadium is set for 6:30 p.m.

VietBet currently has New England favored by 4.5 points with the total set at 48.5.

Eagles Get to Super Bowl LII With Backup QB and Defense

The Eagles have grown accustom to playing the role of underdog since losing Carson Wentz at quarterback in Week 14. They closed as 2.5-point home underdogs in a 15-10 victory against Atlanta in the Divisional Round. The Eagles crushed Minnesota 38-7 in the NFC Championship as three-point underdogs at home.

They are 12-6 against the spread on the year. That included a 4-2 record ATS when getting points on the VietBet closing line. The total has gone OVER in four of those six games.

Nick Foles took over for Wentz after the injury. He did look shaky in his final two regular season games, he has done an excellent job at filling a huge void in two postseason starts. Foles ended the game against the Vikings with 352 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.

He also had zero interceptions and just one sack for a six-yard loss. Philadelphia also has the third-ranked rushing offense in the league in what remains a very balance attack.

Patriots Back in Familiar Position in Super Bowl LII

New England was expected to defend last season’s Super Bowl title. They were the clear favorite to once again win the AFC. It stayed true to course with a SU 15-3 run through its first 18 games while going 12-6 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of those 18 games.

The Patriots did have some trouble getting past Jacksonville in the AFC title game. They were eight-point home favorites in a 24-20 win. This was just the second time in their last 12 games they failed to cover VietBet closing spread.

You have come to expect New England’s offense to be one of the best in the NFL. Future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady had demanded excellence at the helm.

He was at his best against the Jaguars. That was even with his top receiver Rob Gronkowski knocked out of that game with a concussion. Brady’s two fourth-quarter touchdown throws erased a 10-point deficit. The comeback sent his team to its fourth Super Bowl appearance in seven seasons.

Gronk has been cleared to play on Sunday. This will make things even tougher for Philly to play the role of spoiler.

I would still lean towards the Eagles plus the points on Sunday. This matchup is too close to call in my book. What I do like is the OVER 48.5 points on the total line with both teams putting up at least 24 points.

Recent Form

Name	Record	ATS	Offense	Defense	Diff	ATS Home	ATS Away	OU Record	OU Home	OU Away
Philadelphia	15-3	12-6	28.33	17.33	11	7-3	5-3	9-9	4-6	5-3
New England	15-3	12-6	28.72	18.33	10.39	6-4	6-2	8-10	6-4	2-6

Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
PHI	13.03	17.69	-4.66
NE	13.71	19.69	-5.98

Yards Per Pass

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
PHI	11.08	9.92	1.16
NE	11.20	10.91	0.29

Yards Per Rush

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
PHI	4.34	3.79	0.55
NE	4.12	4.57	-0.45

Team Records

Philadelphia Eagles

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	15-3	9-1	6-2	12-6	7-3	5-3	28.33	17.33	11.00
vs Conf	12-2	7-1	5-1	10-4	6-2	4-2	28.14	16.29	11.85
vs Div	3-0	0-0	3-0	2-1	0-0	2-1	33.67	18.33	15.34
Last 3	2-1	2-1	0-0	2-1	2-1	0-0	17.67	7.67	10.00

New England Patriots

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	15-3	8-2	7-1	12-6	6-4	6-2	28.72	18.33	10.39
vs Conf	12-2	7-1	5-1	9-5	5-3	4-2	29.21	18.29	10.92
vs Div	2-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	0-0	1-2	22.33	15.67	6.66
Last 3	3-0	3-0	0-0	2-1	2-1	0-0	28.33	13.33	15.00

Super Bowl LII Supergrid

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	28.33	3	18.33	5
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense	261.25	4	244.10	27
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense	130.00	4	108.40	18
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	28.72	2	17.33	2
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense	269.20	4	243.50	24
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense	120.50	14	88.88	2

Head To Head Summary

Name	Record	ATS	OU	Score	Rush	YPR	PA	CP	PY	TY	TO +/-
Philadelphia	2-4	4-2	4-2	23.00	87.00	3.70	40.33	52.48	260.83	340.83	3.17
New England	4-2	2-4	4-2	26.83	81.83	3.03	45.17	60.52	300.17	380.67	1.67

Head To Head Detail

Date	Away	Home	Score	Line	Total	OU Result	ARY	APY	ATY	ATT	HRY	HPY	HTY	HTT	Away Team Attempts	Home Team Attempts	Away Team Completions	Home Team Completions
Dec 6, 2015	PHI	NE	35-28	128	120	248	2	103	324	427	2
Nov 27, 2011	NE	PHI	38-20	104	353	457	0	73	393	466	1
Nov 25, 2007	PHI	NE	28-31	55	336	391	3	48	362	410	0
Feb 6, 2005	NE	PHI	24-21	112	219	331	1	45	324	369	4
Sep 14, 2003	NE	PHI	31-10	62	255	309	0	99	211	268	6
Dec 19, 1999	NE	PHI	9-24	62	288	350	7	122	181	303	3
Nov 4, 1990	NE	PHI	20-48				0				0
Nov 29, 1987	PHI	NE	34-31				0				0
Dec 9, 1984	NE	PHI	17-27				0				0
Sep 13, 1981	NE	PHI	3-13				0				0

Super Bowl LII Betting Trends

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 20 games on the road
Philadelphia is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Philadelphia is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing New England

New England Patriots
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 12 games at home
New England is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games
New England is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Team Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Eagles

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Jan 21, 2018	MIN	38-7	W	3/39	W/O	110	346	456	70	263	333	-3	H
Jan 13, 2018	ATL	15-10	W	2.5/40.5	W/U	96	238	334	86	195	281	2	H
Dec 31, 2017	DAL	0-6	L	3.5/40	L/U	70	149	219	129	172	301	1	H
Dec 25, 2017	OAK	19-10	W	-10/46	L/U	78	138	216	137	137	274	-3	H
Dec 17, 2017	NYG	34-29	W	-7.5/40.5	L/O	108	233	341	75	429	504	-1	A

New England Patriots

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Jan 21, 2018	JAC	24-20	W	-8/45.5	L/U	46	298	344	101	273	374	1	H
Jan 13, 2018	TEN	35-14	W	-13.5/48	W/O	101	337	438	65	202	267	0	H
Dec 31, 2017	NYJ	26-6	W	-16.5/42.5	W/U	147	183	330	40	207	247	0	H
Dec 24, 2017	BUF	37-16	W	-10.5/47.5	W/O	193	218	411	84	242	326	1	H
Dec 17, 2017	PIT	27-24	W	-2.5/52.5	W/U	77	283	360	143	270	413	0	A

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