Diamondbacks vs. Padres MLB Betting Preview

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Preview

Thursday, August 16 at 10:10 PM ET 

Petco Park

Clear 81°F

Wind: 8mph  blowing L to R 

Odds: Arizona is -138-moneyline favorites. The total is 8 -110.

The Arizona Diamondbacks open a four-game series with the San Diego Padres, looking to extended their lead for first place in the National League West. 

Buchholz pitches well in losing effort against the Reds

Clay Buchholz (5-2, 2.67 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) gave up three runs (two earned) on eight hits and two walks with four strikeouts across seven innings in a 3-0 loss against the Reds last Friday. Buchholz is now 4-1 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in his last seven starts. 

The Diamondbacks have scored 542 runs (17th in the majors). They are also putting up 4.48 runs per game (16th), hitting .238 (27th) with 133 home runs (19th). Arizona ranks 4th with a 3.60 ERA, 7th with a 1.22 WHIP and 6th with 1067 strikeouts.

Their bullpen ranks 2nd with a 3.14 ERA. Paul Goldschmidt leads the Diamondbacks with 27 home runs, 65 RBI, a .389 OBP and 129 hits. David Peralta has 21 home runs, 61 RBI and a team-best .299 batting average. 

Nix has a strong major league debut

Jacob Nix (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP) threw six scoreless innings in his major league debut against the Phillies last Friday. He surrendered just four hits and two walks with four strikeouts in a 2-0 win.

Nix will get more chances to showcase his skills over the final month and a half of the season. He looks to earn a full-time role with the team next season.

The Padres have scored 472 runs (27th in the majors) this season. They are putting up 3.84 runs per game (27th), hitting .236 (28th) with 112 home runs (25th).

San Diego ranks 21st with a 4.39 ERA, 21st with a 1.35 WHIP and 14th with 1028 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranks 7th with a 3.50 ERA.

Christian Villanueva leads the Padres with 20 home runs. Hunter Renfroe has 12 home runs and 40 RBI. Eric Hosmer has 11 home runs, 49 RBI and team-bests with a .320 OBP and 119 hits.

 

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MLB Trends:

The Arizona Diamondbacks are:

5-1 in Buchholz's last six starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game

4-1 in Buchholz's last five starts

4-0 in the last four meetings in San Diego

5-1 in the last six meetings

The San Diego Padres are: 

7-20 in their last 27 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

6-20 in their last 26 home games

3-14 in their last 17 home games against a right-handed starter 

2-10 in their last 12 home games against a team with a winning record

The Diamondbacks are by far the better team when it comes to hitting and pitching. The Padres are one of the worst-hitting teams in the majors. Nothing suggests that will change when they go up against Buchholz, who has a 2.18 ERA in seven road starts.

Nix pitched well in his first career start for the Padres but expecting him to replicate that effort might be too much.

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks -149 at Jazz Sportsbook

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

 

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