Saturday, December 15, 2018

NFL Week 15 Free Betting Pick- Browns at Broncos

Denver Broncos

Broncos and Browns are Intriguing Matchup





The Cleveland Browns and the Denver Broncos wrap up this Saturday’s doubleheader of betting action on NFL Network. Game time from Sports Authority Field at Mile High is set for 8:20 p.m. The Broncos are favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 46 points.





VietBet closed Cleveland as a slight one-point home underdog against Carolina. They pulled off a straight-up 26-20 upset. Cleveland is now 3-1 both SU and against the spread in its last four games. The total stayed UNDER 48 points in Sunday’s win. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the Browns’ last four games. They are 5-7-1 SU overall with an 8-5 record ATS.





Baker Mayfield kept himself in the discussion for rookie of the year honors with 238 yards passing and one touchdown throw against Carolina. He completed 18 of his 22 pass attempts. He moved the ball around with at least one pass to eight different players.





Nick Chubb led a foursome of players running the ball with 66 yards rushing and one score on 13 carries. Overall this season, the Browns are averaging 22.5 points per game.





Denver was on the road against San Francisco on Sunday as a three-point favorite on the VietBet closing line. They came up short in a 20-14 loss that put a serious dent in any postseason plans. The Broncos slipped to 6-7 SU with an even 6-6-1 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER 45.5 points in the game and it has stayed UNDER in each of their last six contests. Denver is 2-3-1 ATS at home this season.





Any momentum from the Broncos’ three-game winning streak (SU and ATS) was left on the field in San Francisco. Case Keenum struggled all day long with 24 pass completions on 42 attempts for 186 yards. He had one score.





Denver’s ground game averaged 3.8 yards a carry with a total of 103 rushing yards. The biggest issue was the play on defense against a team that had won just two previous games all season long.





Cleveland is the type of team that nobody wants to play this time of the year. I like the points and the Browns’ favor in a game they are more than capable of winning SU.





PREDICTION: Browns 23, Broncos 17





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NFL Betting Odds & Trends






Cleveland Browns
The Browns are 5-19-1 SU in its last 25 games
The Browns are 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Cleveland's last 21 games on the road
The Browns are 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The Browns are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Denver

Denver Broncos
The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
The Broncos are 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

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