NFL Divisional Playoffs: Colts vs Chiefs

Rams Have to Slow Down Chiefs Offense

The Kansas City Chiefs (12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) haven’t claimed the Super Bowl in almost 50 years. They can end that streak with three more wins, starting this Saturday when they host the Indianapolis Colts (11-6 SU, 9-7-1 ATS).

TV: 4:35 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Chiefs -5.5 O/U: 57 Chiefs Host Colts in Divisional Round

While the Chiefs have been competitive since hiring Andy Reid as their head coach in 2013, they’re a whole new team this year with Patrick Mahomes II at quarterback. Mahomes led the NFL during the regular season with 50 touchdown passes and an 82.0 QBR, piloting the best offense Kansas City has ever seen – but can their defense hold its end of the bargain?

Andrew Luck will put them to the test on Saturday. After missing the entire 2017 campaign with shoulder issues, Luck found his groove in late October, quarterbacking the Colts to nine wins in their last 10 regular-season games (6-3-1 ATS) and a 21-7 victory over the Houston Texans (–1.5 at home) in the Wild Card round. Unfortunately, safety Mike Mitchell appears doubtful to face the Chiefs after straining his calf in Houston

This That, and a Dart Throw

History does not favor the Chiefs entering Saturday's AFC divisional round matchup versus the sixth-seeded Colts. That does not concern the overwhelming favorite for league MVP honors. Second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes leads the NFL's most prolific offense as the top-seeded Chiefs look to secure only their second win in 12 playoff appearances since 1994.

Mahomes is the driving force behind an offense that ranked No. 1 in total offense with 425.6 ypg and points per game at 35.3. Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck finished second to Mahomes with 39 scoring passes after missing the entire 2017 season.

• The 89 TD passes by Mahomes and Luck are the most by any quarterbacks in an NFL playoff game.
• Mahomes threw for at least 300 yards 10 times. He had at least four scoring passes in seven games.
• Indianapolis allowed the fewest sacks in the league with 18.

PREDICTION: Chiefs 31, Colts 23

NFL Divisional Playoffs Betting Odds & Trends

Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The Colts are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 13 games on the road
The Colts are 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Kansas City
Indianapolis is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The Colts are 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games at home
The Chiefs are 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
Kansas City is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

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