NBA Playoffs: Tuesday Free Pick- New Orleans at Golden State Game 5

Golden State in Commanding 3-1 Lead

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Golden State Warriors resume their matchup Tuesday night. This is the Western Conference Semifinals Game 5 of this best-of-seven clash. Game time from ORACLE Arena on TNT is set for 10:30 p.m.

VietBet opened the Warriors as heavy 12-point favorites to close this series out and the total has been set at 227.5 points. The line is now Golden State -11.5 and the total slipped to 227.

Pelicans Won Game 3 and Then Slid Back in The Last One

The Pelicans lost the first two games of this series on the road. They closed the gap in Game 3 with a 119-100 victory at home as 4.5-point underdogs. Closing as six-point home underdogs for Sunday’s Game 4, they got waxed 118-92 to fall into this dreaded 3-1 hole.

New Orleans is still a profitable 11-2 against the spread over its last 13 games. The total has gone OVER the VietBet closing line in eight of those outings.

New Orleans took a big step forward this season. It was capped off by its opening-round sweep against Portland. The reality of just how big the gap remains with Golden State has settled in. The Pelicans trailed by 15 points at the end of the first quarter in Sunday’s loss.

They were outscored by 14 points in the third quarter to create an almost insurmountable deficit against the league’s top team. In a losing effort, credit Anthony Davis for posting his eighth-straight double-double in points (26) and rebounds (12) in the postseason.

Golden State is Starting to Click on All Cylinders

The Warriors needed five games to get past San Antonio in the opening round. They went 3-2 ATS in that series, but they are just 2-4 ATS in their last six playoff games. The total stayed UNDER the VietBet 231.5-point betting line on Sunday. It has stayed UNDER in four of their last six outings.

Golden State is 3-2 ATS in five previous home games in this year’s playoffs.

Stephen Curry is back in the starting lineup and he scored 23 points in Game 4. Kevin Durant led the way in that important win with a game-high 38 points. Durant was 15-for-27 from the field. He continues to lead the way in this postseason with 28.4 points per game.

Golden State was the highest scoring team in the NBA during the regular season. They led with an average of 113.5 PPG. That average has slipped slightly to 110.0 points a game over nine postseason games.

I would not bet against Golden State at home SU. I am leery about giving up that many points. My top pick for Tuesday’s contest would be the UNDER 227 at VietBet.

Golden State and New Orleans Betting Trends

Team	Type	Trend	Hit%	O/U	Push.	W/L
New Orleans Pelicans	Away	Pelicans are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.	88.20% (17)	|	0	15|2
New Orleans Pelicans	Away	Pelicans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite.	87.50% (16)	|	0	14|2
Golden State Warriors	Home	Over is 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 games as a home favorite.	85.70% (8)	6|1	1	|
New Orleans Pelicans	Away	Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.	85.70% (7)	|	0	4|1
Golden State Warriors	Home	Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.	83.30% (6)	|	0	5|1
New Orleans Pelicans	Away	Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.	83.30% (6)	|	0	1|6
New Orleans Pelicans	Away	Over is 9-2 in Pelicans last 11 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.	81.80% (11)	9|2	0	|
Golden State Warriors	Home	Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.	80.00% (5)	|	0	4|1

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