Monday Night Football: Chiefs vs Broncos Preview and Pick

Monday Night Football Features Two Old Rivalries With New Blood

Week Four of the NFL season comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will battle at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm EST and ESPN will have the coverage.

Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -4.5-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total opened at 55. The Chiefs are now 3.5-point favorites. The total is down to 53.5.

Three games into his first full season as a starter, second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes already has bumped Peyton Manning from the NFL record books. He chunked his 13th TD pass of the season last week. The pass broke Mannings record of 12 TD's passing to start a season.

The Chiefs are the league's highest-scoring team behind Mahomes. Mahomes also has yet to throw an interception. He has already been named AFC Offensive Player of the Week on two occasions.

Kansas City has won five consecutive matchups against Denver. The Broncos, who won their first two games by a total of four points, will try to bounce back from a 27-14 loss at Baltimore last week. They surrendered 20 unanswered points.

Mahomes has Been Lights Out

The Chiefs are 3-0 to start the young NFL season. Mahomes is a big reason for that. Mahomes threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns in last week's 38-27 home win over San Francisco. All the TD passes were in the 2nd quarter.

This is the third time in as many weeks Kansas City has scored at least 38 points.

Explosive wide receiver Tyreek Hill finally was held in check and kept out of the end zone. Tight end Travis Kelce picked up the slack with eight catches for 114 yards.

Kareem Hunt, who led the league in rushing as a rookie in 2017, is averaging 3.2 yards per carry. He had a pair of 1-yard TD runs.

The Chiefs have struggled on the other side of the ball. They rank last in yards allowed at 474 yards per game. They are 30th in points surrendered at 30.7 ppg.

Hill has scored four touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving and one kick return) in three games versus Denver.

Keenum and the Broncos Come Into Monday Night Football Primed and Ready

The Broncos have started the 2018 NFL season 2-1. They seem to have a leader in Case Keenum. Keenum signed a two-year deal with Denver after a breakout season in which he led Minnesota to the NFC Championship Game.

One issue so far is he already has been intercepted five times. That is just two fewer than his total for the entire 2017 campaign.

Emmanuel Sanders is the team's leading receiver with 19 receptions. Demaryius Thomas has 16. Keenum is getting the ball to his targets.

Denver's best hope may be leaning on the rookie tandem of running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. They have accumulated 350 yards for the league's fourth-ranked rushing attack.

Denver will need to generate pressure against Mahomes. They have a group led by former Super Bowl MVP Miller, who is tied for the NFL lead with four sacks. Miller has registered eight sacks and 11 tackles for loss in his last eight contests against the Chiefs.

The Broncos lost TE Jake Butt to a torn ACL suffered in Thursday's practice.

PREDICTION: Chiefs 30, Broncos 23

Recent Form

Name	Record	ATS	Offense	Defense	Diff	ATS Home	ATS Away	OU Record	OU Home	OU Away
Kansas City	3-0	3-0	39.33	30.67	8.66	1-0	2-0	3-0	1-0	2-0
Denver	2-1	0-2-1	20.33	23.33	-3	0-1-1	0-1	1-2	1-1	0-1

Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
KC	10.13	15.45	-5.33
DEN	18.82	14.59	4.24

Yards Per Pass

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
KC	14.27	11.70	2.57
DEN	10.82	10.79	0.03

Yards Per Rush

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
KC	3.88	5.22	-1.34
DEN	5.17	3.28	1.89

Team Records

Kansas City Chiefs

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	3-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	1-0	2-0	39.33	30.67	8.66
vs Conf	2-0	0-0	2-0	2-0	0-0	2-0	40.00	32.50	7.50
vs Div	2-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	1-0	1-0	38.00	27.50	10.50
Last 3	3-0	1-0	2-0	3-0	1-0	2-0	39.33	30.67	8.66

Denver Broncos

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-2-1	0-1-1	0-1	20.33	23.33	-3.00
vs Conf	1-1	1-0	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-1	17.00	23.00	-6.00
vs Div	2-0	2-0	0-0	0-1-1	0-1-1	0-0	23.50	21.50	2.00
Last 3	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-2-1	0-1-1	0-1	20.33	23.33	-3.00

Monday Night Football Supergrid

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	39.33	1	23.33	16
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense	289.00	10	261.50	22
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense	116.50	16	78.00	5
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	20.33	20	30.67	28
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense	270.50	15	430.00	31
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense	157.00	3	78.00	10

Head To Head Summary

Name	Record	ATS	OU	Score	Rush	YPR	PA	CP	PY	TY	TO +/-
Kansas City	5-5	6-4	6-3-1	25.00	123.70	4.53	35.70	58.54	211.90	335.60	1.50
Denver	5-5	4-6	6-3-1	23.90	114.20	4.06	36.80	55.98	246.30	360.50	2.20

Head To Head Detail

Date	Away	Home	Score	Line	Total	OU Result	ARY	APY	ATY	ATT	HRY	HPY	HTY	HTT	Away Team Attempts	Home Team Attempts	Away Team Completions	Home Team Completions
Dec 31, 2017	KC	DEN	27-24	110	269	379	2	110	226	336	3
Oct 30, 2017	DEN	KC	19-29	177	187	364	5	79	197	276	2
Dec 25, 2016	DEN	KC	10-33	63	183	246	3	238	246	484	1
Nov 27, 2016	KC	DEN	30-27	83	190	273	0	124	340	464	1
Nov 15, 2015	KC	DEN	29-13	106	197	303	0	69	152	221	5
Sep 17, 2015	DEN	KC	31-24	61	238	299	1	144	170	314	5
Nov 30, 2014	DEN	KC	29-16	214	174	388	1	41	110	151	3
Sep 14, 2014	KC	DEN	17-24	133	247	380	0	88	237	325	0
Dec 1, 2013	DEN	KC	35-28	132	403	535	2	159	293	452	1
Nov 17, 2013	KC	DEN	17-27	144	200	344	1	104	323	427	1

Monday Night Football Betting Odds and Trends

Kansas City Chiefs
KCis 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Denver

Denver Broncos
The Broncos 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Denver is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The Broncos are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Denver is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Team Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Sep 23, 2018	SF	38-27	W	-6/53.5	W/O	77	307	384	178	228	406	0	H
Sp 16, 2018	PIT	42-37	W	4/52.5	W/O	127	322	449	33	442	475	1	A
Sp 9, 2018	LAC	38-28	W	3/48.5	W/O	106	256	362	123	418	541	-2	A
Jan 6, 2018	TEN	21-22	L	-8.5/44.5	L/U	69	256	325	202	195	397	-2	H
Dec 31, 2017	DEN	27-24	W	3/37.5	W/O	110	269	379	110	226	336	-1	A

Denver Broncos

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Sep 23, 2018	BAL	14-27	L	5.5/46	L/U	120	173	293	77	265	342	1	A
Sp 16, 2018	OAK	20-19	W	-6/45	L/U	168	217	385	92	281	373	1	H
Sep 9, 2018	SEA	27-24	W	-3/42.5	P/O	146	324	470	64	242	306	0	H
Dec 31, 2017	KC	24-27	L	-3/37.5	L/O	110	226	336	110	269	379	1	H
Dec 24, 2017	WAS	11-27	L	3/39	L/U	159	171	330	87	299	386	1	A

Next up:
Kansas City home to Jacksonville Sunday, October 7
Denver at New York Sunday, October 7

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