Thursday Night Football: Colts vs Patriots Preview and Pick

Patriots Get Some Firepower Back for Colts

The Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots will meet on Thursday Night Football. Gillette Stadium in Foxborough will host this primetime affair. FOX and NFL Network will have the coverage. Kickoff is set for around 8:20 pm EST.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -10.5-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game's total opened at 53.5. The line is holding steady, but the total is down to 50.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will see a familiar face re-enter the huddle tonight. Julian Edelman returns from a four-game suspension. Edelman, was banned for violating the NFL's performance-enhancing substances policy.

He rolled up a career-best 1,106 receiving yards in 2016 before a preseason knee injury caused him to miss the 2017 campaign. His leadership should make a big difference in the locker room and on the field.

Brady Getting back on Track

Brady struggled to find chemistry with his wide receivers in the first three contests. Former Colt Phillip Dorsett and Cordarrelle Patterson each reeled in a touchdown reception in a 38-7 romp over Miami on Sunday.

Brady ranks outside the top 20 in completion percentage (64.4 percent; 21st among QBs), passing yards per game (230; 24th) and yards per attempt (6.8; tied for 27th). Brady and his slow start has been crucial in the Pats 2-2 start.

Edelman is guaranteed to be in the huddle, but Rob Gronkowski isn't a slam dunk to be by his side. The mammoth tight end is dealing with an ankle injury.

The 29-year-old Gronkowski was absent from Tuesday's walk-through. He leads the Patriots with 233 receiving yards in four games. His 17 catches are second on the team to versatile running back James White.

Sony Michel answered a pair of lackluster performances with a stellar one on Sunday. He rushed 25 times for 112 yards and a touchdown. Michel became the second Patriots running back to eclipse 100 yards rushing in a game since 2016. He joined Dion Lewis, who did it twice in 2017.

Colts Look to Take Advantage of Patriots Defense

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck rebounded from a pair of subpar performances. He completed 40 of 62 passes for 464 yards and four touchdowns in Sunday's 37-34 overtime setback to Houston. That is a big reason for the Colts' 1-3 start to the season.

Luck owns an 0-5 career mark versus New England. He has completed just 48 percent of his pass attempts and thrown nine interceptions in three games at Foxborough, Mass.

Luck likely is to be without star wideout T.Y. Hilton (chest, hamstring) on Thursday. He will look to distribute the ball to a wide receiver corps of Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers and Zach Pascal.

The former top overall pick has found a convenient outlet in running back Nyhiem Hines (team-leading 22 catches). He led the club with nine receptions for 63 yards and two touchdowns last week.

Eric Ebron has made the most of fellow tight end Jack Doyle's absence due to injury. He reeled in a team-leading three touchdown receptions in his last four games.

Indianapolis has gotten next-to-nil from its 29th-ranked ground game. Jordan Wilkins leading the club with just 136 rushing yards.

Recent Form

Name	Record	ATS	Offense	Defense	Diff	ATS Home	ATS Away	OU Record	OU Home	OU Away
Indianapolis	1-3	2-2	23.50	25.00	-1.5	0-2	2-0	2-2	2-0	0-2
New England	2-2	2-2	23.75	21.00	2.75	2-0	0-2	1-3	0-2	1-1

Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
IND	14.34	15.09	-0.75
NE	14.2	16.57	-2.37

Yards Per Pass

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
IND	8.48	9.93	-1.45
NE	10.13	10.30	-0.17

Yards Per Rush

Name	Offense	Defense	Differential
IND	3.60	3.90	-0.3
NE	4.11	4.46	-0.35

Team Records

Indianapolis Colts

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	1-3	0-2	1-1	2-2	0-2	2-0	23.50	25.00	-1.50
vs Conf	0-2	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-0	28.50	35.50	-7.00
vs Div	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-0	34.00	37.00	-3.00
Last 3	1-2	0-1	1-1	2-1	0-1	2-0	23.67	22.00	1.67

New England Patriots

Name	Record	Home	Away	ATS	ATS Home	ATS Away	Offense	Defense	Diff
Overall	2-2	2-0	0-2	2-2	2-0	0-2	23.75	21.00	2.75
vs Conf	2-1	2-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	0-1	28.33	19.33	9.00
vs Div	1-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	0-0	38.00	7.00	31.00
Last 3	1-2	1-0	0-2	1-2	1-0	0-2	22.67	21.33	1.34

Supergrid

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	23.50	16	21.00	13
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense	159.00	27	137.00	4
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense	86.00	26	111.50	19
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	23.75	13	25.00	19
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense	270.50	16	248.00	11
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense	148.50	6	108.50	21

Head To Head Summary

Name	Record	ATS	OU	Score	Rush	YPR	PA	CP	PY	TY	TO +/-
Indianapolis	2-8	4-6	7-3	22.50	83.70	3.74	40.20	60.95	288.10	371.80	2.10
New England	8-2	6-4	7-3	35.80	148.50	4.54	33.40	67.66	256.40	404.90	1.00

Head To Head Detail

Date	Away	Home	Score	Line	Total	OU Result	ARY	APY	ATY	ATT	HRY	HPY	HTY	HTT	Away Team Attempts	Home Team Attempts	Away Team Completions	Home Team Completions
Oct 18, 2015	NE	IND	34-27	116	301	417	1	120	289	409	0
Jan 18, 2015	IND	NE	7-45	83	126	209	3	177	220	397	1
Nov 16, 2014	NE	IND	42-20	244	257	501	2	19	303	322	1
Jan 11, 2014	IND	NE	22-43	69	317	386	4	234	185	419	0
Nov 18, 2012	IND	NE	24-59	119	329	448	4	115	331	446	0
Dec 4, 2011	IND	NE	24-31	99	338	437	2	73	289	362	0
Nov 21, 2010	IND	NE	28-31	71	396	467	3	168	178	346	0
Nv 15, 2009	NE	IND	34-35	113	364	477	2	91	316	407	2
Nov 2, 2008	NE	IND	15-18	140	202	342	2	47	254	301	0
Nv 4, 2007	NE	IND	24-20	105	237	342	2	119	213	332	2

NFL Betting Odds and Trends

Indianapolis Colts
Ind is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 12 games
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 8 games when playing New England
Indianapolis is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New England
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against New England

New England Patriots
NE is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NE is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New England's last 19 games
New England is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games at home
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

Team Last 5 Games

Indianapolis Colts

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Sep 30, 2018	HOU	34-37	L	1/48.5	L/O	41	437	478	119	347	466	1	H
Sp 23, 2018	PHI	16-20	L	6.5/45.5	W/U	68	141	209	152	227	379	-2	A
Sp 16, 2018	WAS	21-9	W	6/48	W/U	104	177	281	65	269	334	1	A
Sep 9, 2018	CIN	23-34	L	1/47.5	L/O	75	305	380	101	229	330	0	H
Dec 31, 2017	HOU	22-13	W	-5.5/41	W/U	146	104	250	85	124	209	-1	H

New England Patriots

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	ATS Result	offensive rush yards	offensive passing yards	offensive total yards	defensive rush yards	defensive passing yards	defensive total yards	turnovers	Location
Sep 30, 2018	MIA	38-7	W	-6.5/50.5	W/U	175	274	449	56	116	172	0	H
Sp 23, 2018	DET	10-26	L	-7/55	L/U	89	120	209	159	255	414	0	A
Sep 16, 2018	JAC	20-31	L	-2/44.5	L/O	82	220	302	104	377	481	-1	A
Sp 9, 2018	HOU	27-20	W	-6.5/49.5	W/U	122	267	389	167	158	325	1	H
Feb 4, 2018	PHI	33-41	L	-4.5/49	L/O	113	500	613	164	374	538	0	H

Next up:
Indianapolis at New York Sunday, October 14
New England home to Kansas City Sunday, October 14

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