Wednesday, October 3, 2018

AL Wild Card Game: Athletics vs. Yankees Preview and Pick

AL Wild Card Game

AL Wild Card Game -- Win and Your In for A's and Yankees



The Oakland Athletics and the New York Yankees collide in the AL Wild Card game. The winner moving on to face the Boston Red Sox in the ALDS and the loser going home.

Wednesday, October 3 at 8:00 PM ET

Yankee Stadium

Drizzle 61°F

Wind: 6mph and blowing In

Odds: Yankees are -178-moneyline favorites. The total is 8.5 Under -120.


Odds and News

Hendricks to throw one or two innings 



Liam Hendricks (0-1, 4.13 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) made 25 appearances (eight starts) for the A's this season. He's expected to pitch an inning or two on Wednesday. The right-hander started against the Angels last Saturday and he threw a scoreless inning, surrendering just one hit.

Hendricks went 0-1 with a 1.38 ERA and an 0.85 WHIP in his last 12 appearances (eight starts). He hasn't given up a run in his last 11 1/3 innings of work. 

The Athletics scored 813 runs (4th in the majors). They are putting up 5.02 runs per game (4th), hitting .252 (13th) with 227 home runs (3rd).

Oakland ranked 11th with a 3.81 ERA, 5th with a 1.21 WHIP and 26th with 1237 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 3rd with a 3.37 ERA. 

Khris Davis led the Athletics with 48 home runs and 123 RBI. Matt Olson had 29 home runs and 84 RBI. Stephen Piscotty had 27 home runs and 88 RBI.

Yankees trust in their ace Severino 



Luis Severino (19-8, 3.39 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) gave up two earned runs on four hits in his last start. He also had three walks with seven strikeouts over five innings in a 9-2 win against the Rays on September 25.

Severino had rough patches this season. He still finished with excellent strikeout (28.2 percent) and walk (5.9 percent) rates. He allowed just four earned runs over 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts. 

The Yankees scored 851 runs (2nd in the majors). They are putting up 5.25 runs per game (2nd), hitting .249 (16th) with 267 home runs (1st).

New York ranked 10th with a 3.78 ERA, 6th with a 1.24 WHIP and 2nd with 1634 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 4th with a 3.38 ERA. 

Giancarlo Stanton led the Yankees with 38 home runs and 100 RBI. Miguel Andujar had 27 home runs, 92 RBI and team-bests with a .297 batting average and 170 hits. Didi Gregorius, Aaron Hicks and Aaron Judge hit 27 home runs each.  

 

Odds and News

 

MLB Trends:



 

The Oakland Athletics are:

4-11 in their last 15 postseason games

1-6 in their last seven postseason road games

1-4 in the last five meetings in New York

The New York Yankees are:

4-0 in their last four games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game

6-0 in their last six games following an off day

6-0 in their last six playoff home games

39-12 in their last 51 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game

11-4 in their last 15 games against American League West opponents

Luis Severino pitched well at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium this season. He went 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 15 starts. The A's don't have an ace to counter him. Liam Hendricks will open the game with Mike Fiers and Trevor Cahill to follow and the Yankees can hit them.

Fiers posted a 4.67 ERA in three starts against the Yankees this season. Cahill is just 1-4 with a 10.09 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) against them. The New York offense is heating up at the right time and they hit 10 home runs in six games against Oakland this season.

MLB Pick: Yankees -178 at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

Odds and News

Tuesday, October 2, 2018

NL Wild Card Game: Rockies vs. Cubs Preview and Pick

NL Wild Card Game

NL Wild Card Game is Win and Your In



The Colorado Rockies battle the Chicago Cubs in the NL Wild Card game. The winner moves on to face the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLDS and the loser going home.

Tuesday, October 2 at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN.


Wrigley Field

Mostly Cloudy 65°F

Wind: 7mph  blowing out to left

Odds: Cubs are -133-moneyline favorites. The total is 7 Under -115.

 

Odds and News

Freeland has won eight straight decisions 



Kyle Freeland (17-7, 2.85 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) takes the hill for the Rockies in this must-win contest. Freeland allowed two earned runs on 11 hits and a walk with four strikeouts in a 5-2 win against the Nationals last Friday.

He's 6-0 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in his last seven starts. The kid hasn't lost since August 1st.


The Rockies scored 780 runs (7th in the majors). They are putting up 4.80 runs per game (7th), hitting .256 (6th) with 208 home runs (9th).

Colorado ranked 20th with a 4.33 ERA, 17th with a 1.31 WHIP and 14th with 1399 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 26th with a 4.63 ERA.

Nolan Arenado led the Rockies with a .297 batting average, 38 home runs, 110 RBI and a .374 OBP. Trevor Story had 37 home runs and 108 RBI. Charlie Blackmon had 29 home runs, 70 RBI and a team-best 182 hits.

Lester has won three straight starts



Jon Lester (18-6, 3.32 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) starts for the Cubs. Lester threw six scoreless innings in a 3-0 win against the Pirates last Thursday. He surrendered three hits and four walks with three strikeouts.

The veteran left-hander is 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in his last seven starts. He's 3-0 in his last three starts, giving up just two earned runs in 18 innings of work, posting a 1.00 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP.

The Cubs  scored 761 runs (9th in the majors). They are putting up 4.69 runs per game (9th), hitting .258 (4th) with 166 home runs (23rd).

Chicago ranked 3rd with a 3.65 ERA, 18th with a 1.31 WHIP and 20th with 1327 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 2nd with a 3.34 ERA.

Javier Baez led the Cubs with 34 home runs, 111 RBI and 176 hits. Kyle Schwarber had 26 home runs and 61 RBI and Anthony Rizzo had 25 home runs and 101 RBI.

Odds and News

 

MLB Trends:



The Under is:

22-8 in Colorado's last 30 games against a left-handed starter

13-4 in Colorado's last 17 games following a loss

5-1 in Colorado's last six road games against a left-handed starter

4-1-1 in Colorado's last six road games against a team with a winning record

4-1-1 in Colorado's last six road games

13-3 in Freeland's last 16 starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game

21-7-2 in Freeland's last 30 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance

5-1 in Chicago's last six postseason home games

11-3 in Chicago's last 14 home games

11-4 in Chicago's last 15 home games against a team with a winning road record

5-2 in Lester's last seven home starts against a team with a winning record

4-0 in Lester's last four home starts against the Rockies

4-0 in Lester's last four starts against the Rockies

The Rockies are forced to play this Wild Card game in Chicago after losing in Los Angeles yesterday. The loss causes them to have back-to-back days with travel and time zone change involved.

Colorado will have their ace on the mound and the Chicago offense has been ice-cold lately. I'm looking at the Under, as Jon Lester has been just as dominant as Kyle Freeland as of late and the Rockies will be tired.

MLB Pick: Under 7 (-115) at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

Odds and News

Monday, October 1, 2018

Monday Night Football: Chiefs vs Broncos Preview and Pick

Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football Features Two Old Rivalries With New Blood



Week Four of the NFL season comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will battle at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm EST and ESPN will have the coverage.

Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -4.5-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total opened at 55. The Chiefs are now 3.5-point favorites. The total is down to 53.5.

Three games into his first full season as a starter, second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes already has bumped Peyton Manning from the NFL record books. He chunked his 13th TD pass of the season last week. The pass broke Mannings record of 12 TD's passing to start a season.

The Chiefs are the league's highest-scoring team behind Mahomes. Mahomes also has yet to throw an interception. He has already been named AFC Offensive Player of the Week on two occasions.

Kansas City has won five consecutive matchups against Denver. The Broncos, who won their first two games by a total of four points, will try to bounce back from a 27-14 loss at Baltimore last week. They surrendered 20 unanswered points.

Mahomes has Been Lights Out



The Chiefs are 3-0 to start the young NFL season. Mahomes is a big reason for that. Mahomes threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns in last week's 38-27 home win over San Francisco. All the TD passes were in the 2nd quarter.

This is the third time in as many weeks Kansas City has scored at least 38 points.

Explosive wide receiver Tyreek Hill finally was held in check and kept out of the end zone. Tight end Travis Kelce picked up the slack with eight catches for 114 yards.

Kareem Hunt, who led the league in rushing as a rookie in 2017, is averaging 3.2 yards per carry. He had a pair of 1-yard TD runs.

The Chiefs have struggled on the other side of the ball. They rank last in yards allowed at 474 yards per game. They are 30th in points surrendered at 30.7 ppg.

Hill has scored four touchdowns (two rushing, one receiving and one kick return) in three games versus Denver.

Keenum and the Broncos Come Into Monday Night Football Primed and Ready



The Broncos have started the 2018 NFL season 2-1. They seem to have a leader in Case Keenum. Keenum signed a two-year deal with Denver after a breakout season in which he led Minnesota to the NFC Championship Game.

One issue so far is he already has been intercepted five times. That is just two fewer than his total for the entire 2017 campaign.

Emmanuel Sanders is the team's leading receiver with 19 receptions. Demaryius Thomas has 16. Keenum is getting the ball to his targets.

Denver's best hope may be leaning on the rookie tandem of running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. They have accumulated 350 yards for the league's fourth-ranked rushing attack.

Denver will need to generate pressure against Mahomes. They have a group led by former Super Bowl MVP Miller, who is tied for the NFL lead with four sacks. Miller has registered eight sacks and 11 tackles for loss in his last eight contests against the Chiefs.

The Broncos lost TE Jake Butt to a torn ACL suffered in Thursday's practice.

PREDICTION: Chiefs 30, Broncos 23



Recent Form









































NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
Kansas City3-03-039.3330.678.661-02-03-01-02-0
Denver2-10-2-120.3323.33-30-1-10-11-21-10-1





Power Stats




Yards Per Point
















NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
KC10.1315.45-5.33
DEN18.8214.594.24





Yards Per Pass
















NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
KC14.2711.702.57
DEN10.8210.790.03





Yards Per Rush
















NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
KC3.885.22-1.34
DEN5.173.281.89





Team Records




Kansas City Chiefs























































NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall3-01-02-03-01-02-039.3330.678.66
vs Conf2-00-02-02-00-02-040.0032.507.50
vs Div2-01-01-02-01-01-038.0027.5010.50
Last 33-01-02-03-01-02-039.3330.678.66





Denver Broncos























































NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall2-12-00-10-2-10-1-10-120.3323.33-3.00
vs Conf1-11-00-10-20-10-117.0023.00-6.00
vs Div2-02-00-00-1-10-1-10-023.5021.502.00
Last 32-12-00-10-2-10-1-10-120.3323.33-3.00





Monday Night Football Supergrid






































TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense39.33123.3316
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense289.0010261.5022
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense116.501678.005
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense20.332030.6728
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense270.5015430.0031
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense157.00378.0010



Head To Head Summary









































NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
Kansas City5-56-46-3-125.00123.704.5335.7058.54211.90335.601.50
Denver5-54-66-3-123.90114.204.0636.8055.98246.30360.502.20





Head To Head Detail



























































































































































DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Dec 31, 2017KCDEN27-2411026937921102263363
Oct 30, 2017DENKC19-291771873645791972762
Dec 25, 2016DENKC10-336318324632382464841
Nov 27, 2016KCDEN30-278319027301243404641
Nov 15, 2015KCDEN29-131061973030691522215
Sep 17, 2015DENKC31-246123829911441703145
Nov 30, 2014DENKC29-162141743881411101513
Sep 14, 2014KCDEN17-241332473800882373250
Dec 1, 2013DENKC35-2813240353521592934521
Nov 17, 2013KCDEN17-2714420034411043234271





Monday Night Football Betting Odds and Trends




























Team Last 5 Games




Kansas City Chiefs































































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 23, 2018SF38-27W-6/53.5W/O773073841782284060H
Sp 16, 2018PIT42-37W4/52.5W/O127322449334424751A
Sp 9, 2018LAC38-28W3/48.5W/O106256362123418541-2A
Jan 6, 2018TEN21-22L-8.5/44.5L/U69256325202195397-2H
Dec 31, 2017DEN27-24W3/37.5W/O110269379110226336-1A





Denver Broncos































































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 23, 2018BAL14-27L5.5/46L/U120173293772653421A
Sp 16, 2018OAK20-19W-6/45L/U168217385922813731H
Sep 9, 2018SEA27-24W-3/42.5P/O146324470642423060H
Dec 31, 2017KC24-27L-3/37.5L/O1102263361102693791H
Dec 24, 2017WAS11-27L3/39L/U159171330872993861A







Next up:
Kansas City home to Jacksonville Sunday, October 7
Denver at New York Sunday, October 7

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Rockies and Dodgers Play for NL West Title

NL West

Winner of Game Wins NL West Title; Loser Plays in NL Wildcard



The NL West couldn't be settled after 162 games of the Major League Baseball Season. The Rockies and the Dodgers will square off Monday afternoon to see who wins the division. The winner will be crowned NL West Champions. The loser will play in the NL Wildcard Game Tuesday.

TV: 4:09 p.m. ET, ESPN

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH German Marquez (14-10, 3.76 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (7-5, 2.76)

ODDS: The Dodgers are -175-moneyline favorites. The total is 7 Under -120.

Both of these teams will look to carry over their offensive production from their final regular-season contests.  The Dodgers swept three from San Francisco over the weekend while scoring 28 runs. They scored 15 on Sunday.

Colorado won nine of its last 10 contests after a 12-0 rout of Washington in Sunday's finale.

Dodgers Have Owned Rockies in Regular Season



The winner advances to host the NL East champion Atlanta Braves in the opener of the best-of-five Division Series on Thursday. The loser settles for playing in the Wild Card Game on Tuesday at the Milwaukee Brewers or the Chicago Cubs.

Two young hard-throwing right-handed pitchers will take the mound Monday. Los Angeles hands the ball to Walker Buehler. The Rockies counter with German Marquez. He has two wins and a no-decision in three starts against the Dodgers this season.

Colorado's Nolan Arenado went deep twice Sunday, giving him an NL-most 37. Manny Machado takes a nine-game hitting streak (12-for-36) into the contest for Los Angeles. They have won 12 of 19 games in the season series.

Both Startig Pitchers are Dealing Heading into NL West Tiebreaker



Marquez won his last two starts. That includes last Wednesday when he permitted three hits and one walk over seven scoreless innings against Philadelphia. The 23-year-old has registered 11 or more strikeouts in five of his last six outings. He boasts 221 over 191 1/3 frames this season.

Joc Pederson is 3-for-10 with two homers versus Marquez. He is 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA in five career starts against the Dodgers.

Buehler recorded four quality starts in five opportunities during September. He only managed only a 1-1 record in that stretch despite a sparkling 1.95 ERA. Buehler owns 148 strikeouts over 130 2/3 innings. He held Arizona to two runs over six innings in his last start.

The youngster has lost only once since Aug. 1. That was at Colorado on Sept. 8.

Arenado and Carlos Gonzalez are each 3-for-10 against Buehler.  He is 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA in five starts versus Colorado in 2018.

This and That in the NL West



Los Angeles has won at least 90 games for the sixth straight season. That matches the streak of the Brooklyn Dodgers (1951-56) for the franchise record.

Colorado CF Charlie Blackmon hit for the cycle Sunday. He did this by going 4-for-5 with three RBIs. He has a team-high five homers against the Dodgers this season. Arenado has gone deep four times versus Los Angeles in 2018.

Los Angeles OF Yasiel Puig is 21-for-48 with five homers versus the Rockies this year.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 5, Rockies 4




Recent Form































Teamrecordmoneyvs LHPvs RHPFaveDogO/UDiff
Colorado91-71$1,803.0033-2758-4456-3835-3367-86-90.23
LA Dodgers91-71-$1,142.0040-2551-4685-686-376-80-61.18






Pitchers Last 3 Starts




German Marquez (14-10) ERA: 3.81
































event dateOpponentResultscoreOU Resultipmoney
Sep 26, 2018PHIW14-0O7$50.00
Sep 21, 2018ARIW6-2O7$105.00
Sep 15, 2018SFL0-3U6-$100.00





Walker Buehler (7-4) ERA: 2.76

































event dateOpponentResultscoreOU Resultipmoney
Sep 25, 2018ARIL3-4U6-$100.00
Sep 19, 2018COLW5-2U6$43.00
Sep 14, 2018STLW3-0U8$81.00





Bullpen





Colorado's relievers have pitched 11.1 innings in the last 3 games.
LA Dodgers's relievers have pitched 9 innings in the last 3 games.


Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent




Colorado Rockies - German Marquez

































































DatescoreWinneriphitsRunsEarned RunswalksstrikeoutsDecision
Jun 30, 20183-1COL821109Win
Jun 2, 201812-4LA674438No Decision
May 21, 20182-1COL721125Win
Sep 30, 20175-3LA663312No Decision
Sep 8, 20175-4COL464232No Decision





Los Angeles Dodgers - Walker Buehler

































































DatescoreWinneriphitsRunsEarned RunswalksstrikeoutsDecision
Sep 19, 20185-2LA6320112No Decision
Sep 8, 20184-2COL664417Loss
Aug 11, 20183-2COL740036No Decision
Jun 2, 201812-4LA584422No Decision
May 21, 20182-1COL721106No Decision





Supergrid




























TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense4.8073.752
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense4.11213.643
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense4.9354.5720
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense4.46164.1510


Head To Head Detail































































































































































































DateAwayaway scoreHomehome scorelineO/UAway PitcherHome PitcherAway HitsHome HitsAway WalksHome WalksAway StrikeoutsHome Strikeouts
Sep 19, 2018COL2LA5-2307.5UTyler Anderson (L)Walker Buehler (R)4513165
Sep 18, 2018COL2LA3-1907UKyle Freeland (L)Clayton Kershaw (L)465497
Sep 17, 2018COL2LA8-1617.5OJon Gray (R)Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)6112668
Sep 9, 2018LA9COL610210.5ORich Hill (L)Tyler Anderson (L)14871810
Sep 8, 2018LA2COL411810UWalker Buehler (R)Kyle Freeland (L)6731148
Sep 7, 2018LA4COL21359.5UClayton Kershaw (L)Jon Gray (R)81092911
Aug 12, 2018LA3COL417212URich Hill (L)Chad Bettis (R)755367
Aug 11, 2018LA2COL312611UWalker Buehler (R)Kyle Freeland (L)6633118
Aug 10, 2018LA4COL5-10811UKenta Maeda (R)Jon Gray (R)10913513
Aug 9, 2018LA8COL512110.5ORoss Stripling (R)Tyler Anderson (L)131024114





NL West Betting Odds & Trends




























Team Vs Division Or Conference




Colorado Rockies



























































recordHomeAwayFaveDogO/Uvs LHPvs RHP
Overall91-7147-3444-3756-3240-3667-86-933-2758-44
Last 109-16-13-07-03-06-41-08-1
vs Div41-3522-1619-1928-1617-1729-43-418-1823-17
vs AL13-78-25-58-45-36-12-26-27-5
vs NL78-6439-3239-3248-2835-3361-74-727-2551-39





Los Angeles Dodgers


























































recordHomeAwayFaveDogO/Uvs LHPvs RHP
Overall91-7144-3747-3485-667-476-80-640-2551-46
Last 107-33-14-27-30-06-3-15-12-2
vs Div44-3223-1421-1843-302-234-38-425-1319-19
vs AL12-86-46-412-70-08-126-26-6
vs NL79-6338-3341-3073-597-468-68-634-2345-40





Team Last 5 Games




Colorado Rockies

































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineTotalstarteripopposing starterLocation
Sep 30, 2018WSH12-0W-19011Tyler Anderson7.2Erick FeddeH
Sep 29, 2018WSH2-12L-1059.5Jon Gray2S StrasburgH
Sep 28, 2018WSH5-2W-20010.5Kyle Freeland6Joe RossH
Sep 27, 2018PHI5-3W-18511Antonio Senzatela4.2J ArrietaH
Sep 26, 2018PHI14-0W-2009.5German Marquez7Nick PivettaH





Los Angeles Dodgers

































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineTotalstarteripopposing starterLocation
Sep 30, 2018SF15-0W-2407.5R Hill7Andrew SuarezA
Sep 29, 2018SF10-6W-2807C Kershaw5Dereck RodriguezA
Sep 28, 2018SF3-1W-1877H Ryu6M BumgarnerA
Sep 26, 2018ARI2-7L-1308Ross Stripling1.2Z GreinkeA
Sep 25, 2018ARI3-4L-2258.5Walker Buehler6Matt KochA







 

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Sunday, September 30, 2018

BetAnySports Free NFL Week 4 Pick- Bills at Packers

Green Bay Packers

Bills Have Momentum as They Face Packers



The Green Bay Packers and the Buffalo Bills have an intriguing matchup in NFL Week 4 Action. The Bills stay on the road this Sunday in a second-straight matchup against the NFC North. They a trip to Lambeau Field to face the Packers in a 1 p.m. start on CBS.

BetAnySports has opened the Packers as 10-point favorites with the total set at 44.5 points. The Packers are now 9.5-point favorites. The total is not at 44.

Bills Need to Play Consistent Against Packers



Buffalo was the top betting story in the NFL this past Sunday. They had a stunning 27-6 upset on the road against Minnesota as a heavy 16.5-point underdog.

This followed two lopsided loss to Baltimore on road and the Los Angeles Chargers at home in its first two games. The Bills are 1-2 both straight-up and against the spread. The total has gone OVER in two of the three games at BetAnySports.

Rookie quarterback Josh Allen ended the game against the Vikings with 196 yards passing and one touchdown throw. He completed 15 of his 22 passing attempts. Chris Ivory caught three passes for 70 yards while also leading the Bills in rushing with 56 yards on 20 carries.

You can also credit Buffalo’s defense for the upset with an interception and two fumble recoveries.

Packers Have Not Met Expectations



Green Bay has also failed to meet expectations as one of the top teams in the NFC North. They are at 1-1-1 SU and 1-2 ATS.

The Packers needed a 28-point fourth quarter rally to get past Chicago in Week 1. They were seven-point home favorites. They had to settle for a 29-29 tie against Minnesota as slight 1.5-point underdogs at home.

This past Sunday they were on the wrong end of a 31-17 loss to Washington. Linesmakers had them as 2.5-point road favorites. The total went OVER BetAnySports’ closing line in all three games.

Aaron Rodgers has completed 66.4 percent of his first 116 passing attempts. That has totaled 832 yards and six touchdowns against zero interceptions. His mobility has been hampered by a knee injury he sustained against the Bears.

The rushing offense has also been an issue with an average of 89 yards per game, which is ranked 24th in the league.

Green Bay’s defense falls to 23rd in the NFL in average points allowed (27.7).

The Bills have a ton of momentum on their side coming into Sunday’s game against the Packers. This is a team that has stumbled out of the gate in its first three games.

That being said, I am still going to lay the 9.5 points and take Green Bay ATS at home. Lambeau is a place where it is still hard to get a win for even the best teams in the league.

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Football Betting - NFL Week 4 Games to Watch

NFL Week 4

By: The Frisco Kid

NFL Week 4 is When Teams Start to Separate Themselves



The NFL Week 4 slate kicked off with a very entertaining game in La La Land. We saw 48 first half points, leading to a 38-31 victory for the LA Rams over the Minnesota Vikings.

This one went well OVER the total of 49. The total went UNDER in the second half with the 2nd half total being set at 26.5. Only 21 points scored. I recently wrote an article about 2nd half total trends. If it stays true, it could be gold Jerry, gold!

Here are a few games to watch coming into Sunday’s action in Week 4.

Dolphins @ Patriots | Sept. 30th, 2018, 1:00PM ET | Pats -6.5 | Total 48.5



Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that the Dolphins would be the undefeated team coming into this one? Regardless of what we expected, the truth is the Dolphins are 3-0. They have wins over the Titans, Jets and Raiders. The Fins are also 3-0 ATS.

Five Value – Added Online Sportsbook Features at Americas Bookie

After starting the season with a win at home against the Texans, the Patriots have now lost back-to-back road games. They lost to Jacksonville and Detroit by double-digits. Not even Tom Terrific can inject life into this anemic offense.

Help is on the way with Justin Edelman returning from suspension in Week 5. Josh Norman getting up to speed on the offense.

New England was a 7.5-point road favorite in Detroit and a 1-point favorite in Jacksonville. That puts their SU and ATS records at 1-2. I just spoke on the Pats offense. They are 25th in total offense, but their troubles don’t end there.

They are 26th in total defense, giving up the 22nd most passing yards per game (263). The squad is an astounding 31st in rushing yards allowed per game (143.3). Miami is 23rd in total offense and 19th in total defense.

Bengals @ Falcons | Sept. 30th, 2018, 1:00PM ET | Falcons -3.5 | Total 53.5



I predict fireworks in this one. Although only one game has a total higher than this one (KC at DEN 54.5), reaching the OVER is very achievable. The Bengals scored 34 points in their first two games. They were held to 21 last week against a tough Panthers defense.

Andy Dalton did throw for 352 yards last week, but he only completed 63% of his passes. He also threw FOUR interceptions.

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The Falcons forgot to get ready for their season opener in Philly, and looked flat from the get go. They scored only 12 points that night. They have since scored 31 vs. the Panthers in Week 2 and 37 in an overtime thriller with the Saints in Week 3.

This game features a couple of the best wide receivers in the game with Julio Jones and A.J. Green. We also will see a couple of the best up and coming stars at the same position. Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd.

The Falcons rookie wide receiver has taken the football world by storm. Ridley broke out last week for 146 yards and 3 TDs after getting the first TD and reception of his career in Week 2.

Third year WR Tyler Boyd has already equaled his 2017 production heading into Week 4. After going for 91 yards and a TD on 9 catches in Week 2, last week he went off for 132 yards and another TD.

With Green good to go, watch for the depleted Falcon defense to have trouble stopping the Bengals duo. Although the same can be said for Atlanta’s Alabama wide outs.

Eagles @ Titans | Sept. 30th, 2018, 1:00PM ET | Titans +3.5 | Total 41



Expect NFL Week 4 to show some real life drama. It is maybe one of the best reality TV shows there has ever been, and ever will be. It’s a roller coaster ride. Last week, the Titans beat a Jaguars team that had just beaten the Patriots.

The Titans managed only 83 yards through the air and 150 more on the ground, en route to a 9-6 win.

Early Line Over Reactions for NFL Week 4

The Eagles got Cap’n Wentz back last week. Although it was not easy, the Eagles went to 2-1 after a 20-16 victory over the Colts. I wrote an article last week, titled “NFL Futures | Super Bowl Winner | Week 3”. I stated:

“Only two short weeks ago the Eagles were a top most power rankings. Getting $1150 on a $100 bet on the Eagles to repeat as Super Bowl champs is perhaps giving the best value of any team on the board.”


While I still believe that statement about value to be true, it is the power rankings part I want to focus on. If you have read my stuff before, you know I handicap my own games prior to looking at any offshore or Vegas odds.

I use a six-category system. I weigh different phases of the game against the other. For purposes of this article, because my opinion means jack-squat, here are the Power Rankings from 3 popular sites for the Titans and Eagles.

Top 3 Google hits for NFL Power Rankings



NFL.com:                               Eagles #3                               Titans #19

ESPN.com:                            Eagles #3                               Titans #20

CBSsports.com:    Eagles #3                               Titans #5 (up 15 spots from last week)

Those three sets of Power Rankings average out to be Eagles #3 and Titans #14. I do not know the ins and outs of how they come up with these. I would suspect it’s similar to mine and encompass a wide array of information.

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The Point being going into NFL Week 4 action is this. Is 3.5-points enough separating that large of a gap in the power rankings? Did the 9-6 victory over the Jags give the Titans that much of a boost?

I don’t think so. There looks to be a lot of money on the Eagles moneyline. expect the spread to get closer to 5 as game-time approaches.

These are three games I will be watching as Sunday in NFL Week 4 action.

Will the Pats get on track or will the Dolphins take a commanding lead in the AFC East? You best get your popcorn ready for Cincy & the Falcons. and Get on the Eagles now before that lines moves out of your favor. Good luck and see you back here next week.

Saturday, September 29, 2018

No. 7 Stanford vs. No. 8 Notre Dame College Football Preview and Pick

Notre Dame Athletics

No. 7 Stanford vs. No. 8 Notre Dame College Football Preview



Two ranked opponents collide in South Bend, Indiana on Saturday when the Stanford Cardinal visit the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Saturday, September 29 at 7:30 PM ET

Notre Dame Stadium

Odds: Notre Dame is a 4-point favorite. The total is 52.5.

Odds and News

Stanford Cardinal



Stanford escaped with a 38-31 come-from-behind overtime win against Oregon last Saturday night. The Cardinal trailed 24-7 in the third quarter and the Ducks were on the one-yard line. They were about to make the game 31-7.

Two fumbles, with the second one being returned 80 yards for a score, changed the course of the game.

K.J. Costello completed 19 of 26 passes for 327 yards and three touchdowns. He will be a player to watch in this contest because Notre Dame has been below average defending the pass so far.

The Cardinal are averaging 264.0 passing yards (47th in the nation) and 104.3 rushing yards (120th). Stanford ranks 77th with 29.0 points per game and 10th with 13.5 points against.

K.J. Costello has passed for 1056 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Bryce Love has 254 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 59 carries. JJ Arcega-Whiteside has 17 receptions for 408 yards and seven touchdowns.

 

Notre Dame Fighting Irish



Notre Dame has a solid ground game and a strong receiving corps. Quarterback Brandon Wimbush struggled early on, so they decided to give a chance to his backup Ian Book. On the road against Wake Forest Book led the Fighting Irish to a 56-27 win.

The Notre Dame offense finally looked great. Book earned himself another start over Wimbush after completing 25 of 34 passes for 325 yards and two touchdowns. He also ran for 43 yards and three touchdowns.

The Fighting Irish finished with 241 rushing yards, led by Jafar Armstrong's 98 yards and two touchdowns on eight carries.

The Fighting Irish are averaging 231.8 passing yards (71st in the nation) and 183.8 rushing yards (60th). Notre Dame ranks 64th with 31.5 points per game and 33rd with 19.3 points against.

Ian Book has passed for 338 yards and three touchdowns. Tony Jones Jr. has 263 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 46 carries. Miles Boykin has nine receptions for 167 yards.

 

Odds and News

 

College Football Trends:



The Under is:

38-16 in Stanford's last 54 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game

12-4 in Stanford's last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game

9-2 in Stanford's last 11 games following a straight up win

8-3 in Stanford's last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game

10-4 in Stanford's last 14 games overall

16-5 in Notre Dame's last 21 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game

7-1 in Notre Dame's last eight games overall

7-1 in Notre Dame's last eight non-conference games

4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Notre Dame

7-1 in the last eight meetings

The Notre Dame offense exploded against Wake Forest last week. I don't see them putting up many points on this Stanford defense. Stanford hasn't been solid on offense so far, especially their running game, so they'll look to establish the run, which will eat the clock.

College Football Pick: Under 52.5 (-110) at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

 

Odds and News