2018 NLDS Game 1: Rockies vs Brewers Preview and Pick

NLDS Kicks Off with Brewers hosting the Rockies

The 2018 NLDS kicks off the REAL start of the MLB Playoffs Thursday afternoon. The much-travelled Colorado Rockies land in Milwaukee to play the Brewers.

TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (3-0, 3.61 ERS)

ODDS: Milwaukee is a -160-moneyline favorite. The total is 8.5 Under -115.

Colorado will play in their fourth city in five days when they open the best-of-five National League Division Series against Milwaukee on Thursday. The Rockies reached the NLDS by outlasting the Chicago Cubs. It was a 13 inning classic wild-card game.

The red-hot Brewers are the NL Central champions. Milwaukee went 5-2 against the Rockies in the regular season.

Rockies Going With Hot Pitcher in 2018 NLDS

Senzatela finished strong by going 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA during his final three starts. The 23-year-old made 13 starts and 10 relief appearances this season. He limited opposing hitters to a .220 average on the road compared to .316 at home.

Sentazela's lone appearance against the Brewers came in his major league debut April 6, 2017. He gave up two hits in five scoreless innings while receiving a no-decision.

Colorado finished the regular season at home Sunday. They lost at the Los Angeles Dodgers in a division tiebreaker Monday. Then posted the epic 2-1 victory in Chicago on Tuesday. The team finally arrived in Milwaukee via bus at 4 a.m. on Wednesday morning.

Brewers Will Use "Johnny Wholestaff" in Game 1

Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell indicated at Wednesday's press conference that he will go with an "opener" and make Game 1 a bullpen game. Counsell declined to say who will start the game or would be used.

He said the focus is on how "to share the 27 outs," before indicating he will use a traditional approach in Game 2.

"We're going to use guys that haven't kind of been our starters this last couple weeks," said Counsell of the Game 1 plan, "so we're going to use a bunch of different guys and still deciding on exactly the order of that scenario."

He has settled on Brandon Woodruff to start. Woodruff was a late Semptember callup and has pitched well. He has started and pitched in relief. He has been up and down from the minors all season. He appeared in 19 games.  He won three of his 4 starts.

Christian Yelich batted .370 with 10 homers and 34 RBIs since the first of September. He finished the regular season with a NL-best .326 average along with 36 homers and 110 RBIs. He barely missed the Triple Crown.

Milwaukee won the NL Central in a tiebreaker Monday in Chicago. They have won eight straight games and 23 of its last 30 games. The Brewers overcame a five-game September deficit

PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Rockies 6

Recent Form

Team	record	money	vs LHP	vs RHP	Fave	Dog	O/U	Diff
Colorado	92-72	$1,833.00	34-27	58-45	56-38	36-34	67-87-10	0.22
Milwaukee	96-67	$1,902.00	24-19	72-48	66-37	30-30	78-81-4	0.59

Pitchers Last 3 Starts

Antonio Senzatela (6-6) ERA: 4.38

event date	Opponent	Result	score	OU Result	ip	money
Sep 27, 2018	PHI	W	5-3	U	4.2	$54.00
Sep 22, 2018	ARI	W	5-1	U	7	$155.00
Sep 16, 2018	SF	W	3-2	U	5	$81.00

Bullpen

Colorado's relievers have pitched 11 innings in the last 3 games.
Milwaukee's relievers have pitched 13.1 innings in the last 3 games.

Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent

Colorado Rockies - Antonio Senzatela

Date	score	Winner	ip	hits	Runs	Earned Runs	walks	strikeouts	Decision
Apr 6, 2017	2-1	COL	5	2	0	0	3	6	No Decision

Date	score	Winner	ip	hits	Runs	Earned Runs	walks	strikeouts	Decision
No Recent Starts vs. Opponent.

Supergrid

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	4.77	7	4.04	8
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense	4.06	21	3.98	7
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	4.63	12	4.55	20
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense	4.74	10	4.12	11

Head To Head Detail

Date	Away	away score	Home	home score	line	O/U	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Away Hits	Home Hits	Away Walks	Home Walks	Away Strikeouts	Home Strikeouts
Aug 5, 2018	COL	5	MIL	4	-108	9	P	Jon Gray (R)	Wade Miley (L)	7	9	7	2	13	11
Aug 4, 2018	COL	4	MIL	8	-144	8.5	O	Tyler Anderson (L)	Freddy Peralta (R)	7	10	3	4	10	7
Aug 3, 2018	COL	3	MIL	5	-127	8.5	U	German Marquez (R)	Junior Guerra (R)	6	4	2	4	7	10
May 13, 2018	MIL	7	COL	3	-153	10.5	U	Freddy Peralta (R)	Jon Gray (R)	13	6	2	3	15	15
May 12, 2018	MIL	0	COL	4	-120	11	U	Brent Suter (L)	Kyle Freeland (L)	5	9	4	2	10	5
May 11, 2018	MIL	11	COL	10	-111	11.5	O	Brandon Woodruff (R)	Chad Bettis (R)	17	16	6	4	7	8
May 10, 2018	MIL	5	COL	2	-140	11.5	U	Jhoulys Chacin (R)	German Marquez (R)	12	5	5	4	6	11
Aug 20, 2017	MIL	8	COL	4	-120	12.5	U	Chase Anderson (R)	Kyle Freeland (L)	12	8	6	7	9	8
Aug 19, 2017	MIL	6	COL	3	-132	12.5	U	Brandon Woodruff (R)	Chad Bettis (R)	10	11	3	4	8	8
Aug 18, 2017	MIL	4	COL	8	-173	13	U	Matt Garza (R)	German Marquez (R)	9	9	2	5	11	5

2018 NLDS Betting Odds and Trends

Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Colorado is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Colorado's last 16 games on the road
Colorado is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado

Team Vs Division Or Conference

Colorado Rockies

	record	Home	Away	Fave	Dog	O/U	vs LHP	vs RHP
Overall	92-72	47-34	45-38	56-32	41-37	67-87-10	34-27	58-45
Last 10	8-2	6-1	2-1	7-0	2-1	5-4-1	1-0	7-2
vs Div	41-36	22-16	19-20	28-16	17-18	29-43-5	18-18	23-18
vs AL	13-7	8-2	5-5	8-4	5-3	6-12-2	6-2	7-5
vs NL	79-65	39-32	40-33	48-28	36-34	61-75-8	28-25	51-40

Milwaukee Brewers

	record	Home	Away	Fave	Dog	O/U	vs LHP	vs RHP
Overall	96-67	51-30	45-37	66-32	37-35	78-81-4	24-19	72-48
Last 10	9-1	3-0	6-1	7-1	3-0	7-3	3-0	6-1
vs Div	40-37	20-18	20-19	28-19	15-18	33-42-2	9-6	31-31
vs AL	13-7	8-2	5-5	11-3	4-4	8-11-1	1-2	12-5
vs NL	83-60	43-28	40-32	55-29	33-31	70-70-3	23-17	60-43

Team Last 5 Games

Colorado Rockies

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	Total	starter	ip	opposing starter	Location
Oct 2, 2018	CHC	2-1	W	130	7.5	Kyle Freeland	6.2	J Lester	A
Oct 1, 2018	LA	2-5	L	155	7	German Marquez	4.2	Walker Buehler	A
Sep 30, 2018	WSH	12-0	W	-190	11	Tyler Anderson	7.2	Erick Fedde	H
Sep 29, 2018	WSH	2-12	L	-105	9.5	Jon Gray	2	S Strasburg	H
Sep 28, 2018	WSH	5-2	W	-200	10.5	Kyle Freeland	6	Joe Ross	H

Milwaukee Brewers

Date	Opponent	score	Result	line	Total	starter	ip	opposing starter	Location
Oct 1, 2018	CHC	3-1	W	110	8	J Chacin	5.2	J Quintana	A
Sep 30, 2018	DET	11-0	W	-275	9	G Gonzalez	5	Spencer Turnbull	H
Sep 29, 2018	DET	6-5	W	-250	8.5	W Miley	3	D Norris	H
Sep 28, 2018	DET	6-5	W	-255	8	Zach Davies	4	J Zimmermann	H
Sep 26, 2018	STL	2-1	W	-110	8.5	J Chacin	5	John Gant	A

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