Friday, October 5, 2018

ALDS Game 1: Indians vs Astros Preview and Pick

2018 ALDS Game 1

ALDS Game 1 between the Cleveland Indians and the Houston Astros will kick off this afternoon. Minute Maid Park in Houston will host the action. If history between these clubs holds true this will be a great series from start to finish. The Game 1 pitching matchup is going to be a great one.

TV: 2:05 p.m. ET, TBS   Intertops

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Corey Kluber (20-7, 2.89 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (16-9, 2.52)

ODDS: The Astros are -155-moneyline favorites. The game's total is 6.5 Over -125.

Two former Cy Young Award winners go at it this afternoon. Both pitchers finished the regular season strong and are prepared to face dangerous lineups today.

Cleveland's Corey Kluber was unbeaten in his last six starts. He went 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA against Houston this year. Justin Verlander gave up four runs across 33 innings in September for the Astros.

The Indians eased to their third straight AL Central title. They have strung three 90 plus-win seasons together (91 in 2018) for the first time since 1999-2001. The defending World Series champion Houston set a franchise record with 103 victories.

Kluber Looks to Pitch Well in ALDS Game 1



Kluber did not pitch well in the playoffs last season. He gave up nine runs over 6 1/3 innings. BUT he was outstanding in 2016 during the Indians' run to the World Series (4-1, 1.83 ERA).

The 32-year-old won his final four decisions in the regular season. He recorded a 2.80 ERA during that six-game stretch to reach 20 victories for the first time. Kluber struck out at 200 for the fifth straight year (222, 2018).

Marwin Gonzalez is 9-for-20 with a pair of homers versus Kluber. The Indians ace is 6-3 with a 2.83 ERA in 10 career appearances (nine starts) against Houston.

Indians shortstop Francisco Lindor launched 38 homers in the regular season. He only went 3-for-31 against the Astros. Cleveland slugger Edwin Encarnacion was 9-for-26 versus Houston with two of his 32 blasts.

Jose Ramirez is 11-for-27 with three doubles and two homers against Verlander. Michael Brantley ended the regular season with a nine-game hitting streak and batted .341 in September to finish at .309 overall.

Astros Expect to Pitch and Hit Well in ALDS



Verlander went 3-0 with a 1.09 ERA in five September starts. This was after struggling a bit in August while registering a 5.29 ERA in six outings. The 35-year-old struck out a career high 290 batters this season without facing the Indians.

He went 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA during Houston's run to the World title in 2017. Verlander is 11-6 with a 3.07 ERA lifetime in the postseason.

Verlander is 4-7 with a 2.84 ERA at home this season while giving up 19 of his 28 homers at Minute Maid Park.

Marwin Gonzalez is 9-for-20 with a pair of homers versus Kluber.

Jose Altuve hit .300 for the fifth straight year (.315, 2018). He was an outstanding 15-for-32 against the Indians during the regular season. Alex Bregman went 8-for-31 with two of his career-best 31 homers.

Yuli Gurriel hit .291 this season overall. He was 23-for-56 with 15 RBIs while hitting safely in 13 of his last 14 contests.

PREDICTION: Indians 4, Astros 3



ALDS Game 1 Betting Odds Trends

























 

Next up:
Cleveland at Houston Saturday, October 6

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Thursday, October 4, 2018

Thursday Night Football: Colts vs Patriots Preview and Pick

New England Patriots Football

Patriots Get Some Firepower Back for Colts



The Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots will meet on Thursday Night Football. Gillette Stadium in Foxborough will host this primetime affair. FOX and NFL Network will have the coverage. Kickoff is set for around 8:20 pm EST.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as -10.5-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game's total opened at 53.5. The line is holding steady, but the total is down to 50.

Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will see a familiar face re-enter the huddle tonight. Julian Edelman returns from a four-game suspension. Edelman, was banned for violating the NFL's performance-enhancing substances policy.

He rolled up a career-best 1,106 receiving yards in 2016 before a preseason knee injury caused him to miss the 2017 campaign. His leadership should make a big difference in the locker room and on the field.

Brady Getting back on Track



Brady struggled to find chemistry with his wide receivers in the first three contests. Former Colt Phillip Dorsett and Cordarrelle Patterson each reeled in a touchdown reception in a 38-7 romp over Miami on Sunday.

Brady ranks outside the top 20 in completion percentage (64.4 percent; 21st among QBs), passing yards per game (230; 24th) and yards per attempt (6.8; tied for 27th). Brady and his slow start has been crucial in the Pats 2-2 start.

Edelman is guaranteed to be in the huddle, but Rob Gronkowski isn't a slam dunk to be by his side. The mammoth tight end is dealing with an ankle injury.

The 29-year-old Gronkowski was absent from Tuesday's walk-through. He leads the Patriots with 233 receiving yards in four games. His 17 catches are second on the team to versatile running back James White.

Sony Michel answered a pair of lackluster performances with a stellar one on Sunday. He rushed 25 times for 112 yards and a touchdown. Michel became the second Patriots running back to eclipse 100 yards rushing in a game since 2016. He joined Dion Lewis, who did it twice in 2017.

Colts Look to Take Advantage of Patriots Defense



Colts quarterback Andrew Luck rebounded from a pair of subpar performances. He completed 40 of 62 passes for 464 yards and four touchdowns in Sunday's 37-34 overtime setback to Houston. That is a big reason for the Colts' 1-3 start to the season.

Luck owns an 0-5 career mark versus New England. He has completed just 48 percent of his pass attempts and thrown nine interceptions in three games at Foxborough, Mass.

Luck likely is to be without star wideout T.Y. Hilton (chest, hamstring) on Thursday. He will look to distribute the ball to a wide receiver corps of Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers and Zach Pascal.

The former top overall pick has found a convenient outlet in running back Nyhiem Hines (team-leading 22 catches). He led the club with nine receptions for 63 yards and two touchdowns last week.

Eric Ebron has made the most of fellow tight end Jack Doyle's absence due to injury. He reeled in a team-leading three touchdown receptions in his last four games.

Indianapolis has gotten next-to-nil from its 29th-ranked ground game. Jordan Wilkins leading the club with just 136 rushing yards.



Recent Form









































NameRecordATSOffenseDefenseDiffATS HomeATS AwayOU RecordOU HomeOU Away
Indianapolis1-32-223.5025.00-1.50-22-02-22-00-2
New England2-22-223.7521.002.752-00-21-30-21-1





Power Stats




Yards Per Point
















NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
IND14.3415.09-0.75
NE14.216.57-2.37





Yards Per Pass
















NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
IND8.489.93-1.45
NE10.1310.30-0.17





Yards Per Rush
















NameOffenseDefenseDifferential
IND3.603.90-0.3
NE4.114.46-0.35





Team Records




Indianapolis Colts























































NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall1-30-21-12-20-22-023.5025.00-1.50
vs Conf0-20-20-00-20-20-028.5035.50-7.00
vs Div0-10-10-00-10-10-034.0037.00-3.00
Last 31-20-11-12-10-12-023.6722.001.67





New England Patriots























































NameRecordHomeAwayATSATS HomeATS AwayOffenseDefenseDiff
Overall2-22-00-22-22-00-223.7521.002.75
vs Conf2-12-00-12-12-00-128.3319.339.00
vs Div1-01-00-01-01-00-038.007.0031.00
Last 31-21-00-21-21-00-222.6721.331.34





Supergrid






































TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense23.501621.0013
Awy Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense159.0027137.004
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense86.0026111.5019
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense23.751325.0019
Hme Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense270.5016248.0011
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense148.506108.5021


Head To Head Summary









































NameRecordATSOUScoreRushYPRPACPPYTYTO +/-
Indianapolis2-84-67-322.5083.703.7440.2060.95288.10371.802.10
New England8-26-47-335.80148.504.5433.4067.66256.40404.901.00





Head To Head Detail



























































































































































DateAwayHomeScoreLineTotalOU ResultARYAPYATYATTHRYHPYHTYHTTAway Team AttemptsHome Team AttemptsAway Team CompletionsHome Team Completions
Oct 18, 2015NEIND34-2711630141711202894090
Jan 18, 2015INDNE7-458312620931772203971
Nov 16, 2014NEIND42-202442575012193033221
Jan 11, 2014INDNE22-436931738642341854190
Nov 18, 2012INDNE24-5911932944841153314460
Dec 4, 2011INDNE24-31993384372732893620
Nov 21, 2010INDNE28-317139646731681783460
Nv 15, 2009NEIND34-351133644772913164072
Nov 2, 2008NEIND15-181402023422472543010
Nv 4, 2007NEIND24-2010523734221192133322





NFL Betting Odds and Trends






























Team Last 5 Games




Indianapolis Colts































































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 30, 2018HOU34-37L1/48.5L/O414374781193474661H
Sp 23, 2018PHI16-20L6.5/45.5W/U68141209152227379-2A
Sp 16, 2018WAS21-9W6/48W/U104177281652693341A
Sep 9, 2018CIN23-34L1/47.5L/O753053801012293300H
Dec 31, 2017HOU22-13W-5.5/41W/U14610425085124209-1H





New England Patriots































































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineATS Resultoffensive rush yardsoffensive passing yardsoffensive total yardsdefensive rush yardsdefensive passing yardsdefensive total yardsturnoversLocation
Sep 30, 2018MIA38-7W-6.5/50.5W/U175274449561161720H
Sp 23, 2018DET10-26L-7/55L/U891202091592554140A
Sep 16, 2018JAC20-31L-2/44.5L/O82220302104377481-1A
Sp 9, 2018HOU27-20W-6.5/49.5W/U1222673891671583251H
Feb 4, 2018PHI33-41L-4.5/49L/O1135006131643745380H







Next up:
Indianapolis at New York Sunday, October 14
New England home to Kansas City Sunday, October 14

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2018 NLDS Game 1: Braves vs Dodgers Preview and Pick

NLDS Game 1

Braves vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 1 Should be a Doozy



NLDS Game 1 of the best-of-five National League Division Series starts on Thursday Night. Dodger Stadium hosts the Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers in what should be a good pitching matchup.

Thursday, October 4 at 8:37 PM ET

Dodger Stadium

Clear 74°F

Wind: 1 mph will be blowing Out

Odds: The Dodgers are -180-moneyline favorites. The total is at 7 Under -120.

Odds and News

 

Foltynewicz ends the season strong



Mike Foltynewicz (13-10, 2.85 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) allowed one earned run on one hit in his last outing. He no walks with nine strikeouts over five innings in a 10-2 win against the Phillies last Friday.

Foltynewicz's 2.85 ERA and 1.08 WHIP are a large reason for the success of the Braves. He led the National League with two complete games and broke the 200 strikeout plateau for the first time at 202.

The Braves scored 759 runs (10th in the majors). They are putting up 4.69 runs per game (10th), hitting .257 (5th) with 175 home runs (19th).

Atlanta ranked 7th with a 3.75 ERA, 13th with a 1.28 WHIP and 10th with 1423 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 17th with a 4.15 ERA.

Ronald Acuna Jr. led the Braves with 26 home runs. Freddie Freeman had team-bests with a .309 batting average, 98 RBI, a .388 OBP and 191 hits. He was third on the Braves with 23 home runs and Ozzie Albies had 24 home runs and 72 RBI. 

Ryu rewarded with Game 1 start



Hyun-Jin Ryu (7-3, 1.97 ERA, 1.01 WHIP) gave up one earned run on four hits (one home run) in his last start. He also had two walks with three strikeouts over six innings in a 3-1 win against the Giants last Friday.

Ryu has pitched fantastic since coming off the disabled list in mid-August. Since then he has a 1.88 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP and a 10.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB) over 52 2/3 innings.

He's 3-0 with an 0.47 ERA and an 0.74 WHIP in his last three starts.  Ryu has allowed just one earned run over 19 innings

The Dodgers scored 804 runs (5th in the majors). They are putting up 4.93 runs per game (5th), hitting .250 (14th) with 235 home runs (2nd).

Los Angeles ranked 2nd with a 3.38 ERA, 2nd with a 1.15 WHIP and 3rd with 1565 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 8th with a 3.72 ERA.

Max Muncy led the Dodgers with 35 home runs and was second on the team with 79 RBI. Cody Bellinger and Joc Pederson had 25 home runs each and Matt Kemp had 21 home runs. Kemp also had a team-bests with a .290 batting average and 85 RBI.

Odds and News

 

MLB Trends:



The Atlanta Braves are:

3-9 in their last 12 games against a left-handed starter

1-4 in their last five road games

 3-8 in Foltynewicz's last 11 starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game

1-4 in Foltynewicz's last five starts against a team with a winning record

2-8 in Foltynewicz's last 10 starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game

 1-5 in Foltynewicz's last six starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game

1-6 in Foltynewicz's last seven starts against National League West opponents

10-25 in the last 35 meetings

1-4 in the last five meetings in Los Angeles

The Los Angeles Dodgers are:



7-0 in their last seven home games against a team with a winning road record

6-1 in their last seven home games

4-1 in Ryu's last five starts against a team with a winning record

4-1 in Ryu's last five home starts

10-4 in Ryu's last 14 starts

The Dodgers scored seven runs in 11 1/3 innings against Mike Foltynewicz, they're very dangerous against right-handed pitchers, as they led the National League with a .796 OPS against right-handers and they also led the league with 168 home runs against righties. 

Hyun-Jin Ryu posted a 1.15 ERA and an 0.90 WHIP in nine home starts and a 1.50 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in his last five starts while Mike Foltynewicz gave up four earned runs on six hits (two home runs) and three walks with five strikeouts in a 4-1 loss against the Dodgers on July 27 and this will be his first career postseason start. 

NLDS Game 1 Pick: Dodgers -180 at Jazz Sports



Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

Odds and News

2018 NLDS Game 1: Rockies vs Brewers Preview and Pick

2018 NLDS Playoffs

NLDS Kicks Off with Brewers hosting the Rockies



The 2018 NLDS kicks off the REAL start of the MLB Playoffs Thursday afternoon. The much-travelled Colorado Rockies land in Milwaukee to play the Brewers.

TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (3-0, 3.61 ERS)

ODDS: Milwaukee is a -160-moneyline favorite. The total is 8.5 Under -115.

Colorado will play in their fourth city in five days when they open the best-of-five National League Division Series against Milwaukee on Thursday. The Rockies reached the NLDS by outlasting the Chicago Cubs. It was a 13 inning classic wild-card game.

The red-hot Brewers are the NL Central champions. Milwaukee went 5-2 against the Rockies in the regular season.

Rockies Going With Hot Pitcher in 2018 NLDS



Senzatela finished strong by going 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA during his final three starts. The 23-year-old made 13 starts and 10 relief appearances this season. He limited opposing hitters to a .220 average on the road compared to .316 at home.

Sentazela's lone appearance against the Brewers came in his major league debut April 6, 2017. He gave up two hits in five scoreless innings while receiving a no-decision.

Colorado finished the regular season at home Sunday. They lost at the Los Angeles Dodgers in a division tiebreaker Monday. Then posted the epic 2-1 victory in Chicago on Tuesday. The team finally arrived in Milwaukee via bus at 4 a.m. on Wednesday morning.

Brewers Will Use "Johnny Wholestaff" in Game 1



Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell indicated at Wednesday's press conference that he will go with an "opener" and make Game 1 a bullpen game. Counsell declined to say who will start the game or would be used.

He said the focus is on how "to share the 27 outs," before indicating he will use a traditional approach in Game 2.

"We're going to use guys that haven't kind of been our starters this last couple weeks," said Counsell of the Game 1 plan, "so we're going to use a bunch of different guys and still deciding on exactly the order of that scenario."


He has settled on Brandon Woodruff to start. Woodruff was a late Semptember callup and has pitched well. He has started and pitched in relief. He has been up and down from the minors all season. He appeared in 19 games.  He won three of his 4 starts.

Christian Yelich batted .370 with 10 homers and 34 RBIs since the first of September. He finished the regular season with a NL-best .326 average along with 36 homers and 110 RBIs. He barely missed the Triple Crown.

Milwaukee won the NL Central in a tiebreaker Monday in Chicago. They have won eight straight games and 23 of its last 30 games. The Brewers overcame a five-game September deficit

PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Rockies 6




Recent Form































Teamrecordmoneyvs LHPvs RHPFaveDogO/UDiff
Colorado92-72$1,833.0034-2758-4556-3836-3467-87-100.22
Milwaukee96-67$1,902.0024-1972-4866-3730-3078-81-40.59






Pitchers Last 3 Starts




Antonio Senzatela (6-6) ERA: 4.38
































event dateOpponentResultscoreOU Resultipmoney
Sep 27, 2018PHIW5-3U4.2$54.00
Sep 22, 2018ARIW5-1U7$155.00
Sep 16, 2018SFW3-2U5$81.00





Bullpen




Colorado's relievers have pitched 11 innings in the last 3 games.
Milwaukee's relievers have pitched 13.1 innings in the last 3 games.


Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent




Colorado Rockies - Antonio Senzatela

























DatescoreWinneriphitsRunsEarned RunswalksstrikeoutsDecision
Apr 6, 20172-1COL520036No Decision


















DatescoreWinneriphitsRunsEarned RunswalksstrikeoutsDecision
No Recent Starts vs. Opponent.





Supergrid




























TitleStatRankStatRank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense4.7774.048
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense4.06213.987
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense4.63124.5520
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense4.74104.1211



Head To Head Detail































































































































































































DateAwayaway scoreHomehome scorelineO/UAway PitcherHome PitcherAway HitsHome HitsAway WalksHome WalksAway StrikeoutsHome Strikeouts
Aug 5, 2018COL5MIL4-1089PJon Gray (R)Wade Miley (L)79721311
Aug 4, 2018COL4MIL8-1448.5OTyler Anderson (L)Freddy Peralta (R)71034107
Aug 3, 2018COL3MIL5-1278.5UGerman Marquez (R)Junior Guerra (R)6424710
May 13, 2018MIL7COL3-15310.5UFreddy Peralta (R)Jon Gray (R)136231515
May 12, 2018MIL0COL4-12011UBrent Suter (L)Kyle Freeland (L)5942105
May 11, 2018MIL11COL10-11111.5OBrandon Woodruff (R)Chad Bettis (R)17166478
May 10, 2018MIL5COL2-14011.5UJhoulys Chacin (R)German Marquez (R)12554611
Aug 20, 2017MIL8COL4-12012.5UChase Anderson (R)Kyle Freeland (L)1286798
Aug 19, 2017MIL6COL3-13212.5UBrandon Woodruff (R)Chad Bettis (R)10113488
Aug 18, 2017MIL4COL8-17313UMatt Garza (R)German Marquez (R)9925115





2018 NLDS Betting Odds and Trends























Team Vs Division Or Conference




Colorado Rockies



























































recordHomeAwayFaveDogO/Uvs LHPvs RHP
Overall92-7247-3445-3856-3241-3767-87-1034-2758-45
Last 108-26-12-17-02-15-4-11-07-2
vs Div41-3622-1619-2028-1617-1829-43-518-1823-18
vs AL13-78-25-58-45-36-12-26-27-5
vs NL79-6539-3240-3348-2836-3461-75-828-2551-40





Milwaukee Brewers



























































recordHomeAwayFaveDogO/Uvs LHPvs RHP
Overall96-6751-3045-3766-3237-3578-81-424-1972-48
Last 109-13-06-17-13-07-33-06-1
vs Div40-3720-1820-1928-1915-1833-42-29-631-31
vs AL13-78-25-511-34-48-11-11-212-5
vs NL83-6043-2840-3255-2933-3170-70-323-1760-43





Team Last 5 Games




Colorado Rockies

































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineTotalstarteripopposing starterLocation
Oct 2, 2018CHC2-1W1307.5Kyle Freeland6.2J LesterA
Oct 1, 2018LA2-5L1557German Marquez4.2Walker BuehlerA
Sep 30, 2018WSH12-0W-19011Tyler Anderson7.2Erick FeddeH
Sep 29, 2018WSH2-12L-1059.5Jon Gray2S StrasburgH
Sep 28, 2018WSH5-2W-20010.5Kyle Freeland6Joe RossH





Milwaukee Brewers

































































DateOpponentscoreResultlineTotalstarteripopposing starterLocation
Oct 1, 2018CHC3-1W1108J Chacin5.2J QuintanaA
Sep 30, 2018DET11-0W-2759G Gonzalez5Spencer TurnbullH
Sep 29, 2018DET6-5W-2508.5W Miley3D NorrisH
Sep 28, 2018DET6-5W-2558Zach Davies4J ZimmermannH
Sep 26, 2018STL2-1W-1108.5J Chacin5John GantA







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Wednesday, October 3, 2018

NCAAF Preview and Pick: Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruins

UCLA Bruins

The UCLA Bruins Look to Upset 10th Ranked Washington Huskies



The UCLA Bruins try to win their first game of the season when they host the No. 10 Washington Huskies.

Saturday, October 6 at 7:30 PM ET

Rose Bowl

Odds: Washington is a 21-point favorite. The total is at 51.

Odds and News

Washington Huskies



Washington has won four straight games and they have plenty of confidence. The Huskies had a easy 35-7 home win against No. 20 BYU last Saturday. Jake Browning completed 23 of 25 passes for 277 yards and one touchdown in the victory.

Browning added four yards and a touchdown on the ground. Salvon Ahmed and Myles Gaskin combined for 167 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries. Aaron Fuller had eight receptions for 107 yards.

The Huskies are averaging 273.4 passing yards (41st in the nation) and 165.4 rushing yards (81st). Washington ranks 75th with 28.8 points per game and 1st with 11.3 points against.

Jake Browning has passed for 1243 yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Myles Gaskin has 438 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 97 carries. Aaron Fuller has 30 receptions for 474 yards and one touchdown.

UCLA Bruins



UCLA is 0-4 after a tough 38-16 road loss against Colorado last Friday. Joshua Kelley ran for 124 yards on 12 carries. Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 17 of 35 passes for 138 yards and a touchdown.

Defense was the killer as the Bruins couldn't stop the run.They allowed the Buffaloes finish with 209 yards and four touchdowns on 48 carries. Colorado had 477 total yards and 26 first downs and stopping Washington's talented offense will be complicated. 

The Bruins are averaging 176.3 passing yards (109th in the nation) and 135.8 rushing yards (102nd). UCLA ranks 126th with 17.0 points per game and 113th with 37.8 points against.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson has passed for 660 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Kazmeir Allen has 173 rushing yards and one touchdowns on 23 carries. Theo Howard has 14 receptions for 204 yards and one touchdown.

 

Odds and News

 

College Football Trends:



The Washington Huskies are:

15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a losing record

9-4 ATS in their last 13 conference games

4-0 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a losing home record

The UCLA Bruins are:

3-9 ATS in their last 11 conference games

1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points

1-5 ATS in their last six games overall

0-4 ATS in their last four home games

UCLA is averaging just 17.0 points while allowing 37.8 points. They haven't scored more than 21 points in a game this season. Quarterback Wilton Speight could return for UCLA. It shouldn't matter as Washington has an elite defense.

I don't like laying so many points on the road, but this game is a exception. Jake Browning and Myles Gaskin can lead them to an easy win against a struggling UCLA defense.

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these two teams and this trend won't change. 

College Football Pick: Washington -21 (-110) at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

Odds and News

AL Wild Card Game: Athletics vs. Yankees Preview and Pick

AL Wild Card Game

AL Wild Card Game -- Win and Your In for A's and Yankees



The Oakland Athletics and the New York Yankees collide in the AL Wild Card game. The winner moving on to face the Boston Red Sox in the ALDS and the loser going home.

Wednesday, October 3 at 8:00 PM ET

Yankee Stadium

Drizzle 61°F

Wind: 6mph and blowing In

Odds: Yankees are -178-moneyline favorites. The total is 8.5 Under -120.


Odds and News

Hendricks to throw one or two innings 



Liam Hendricks (0-1, 4.13 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) made 25 appearances (eight starts) for the A's this season. He's expected to pitch an inning or two on Wednesday. The right-hander started against the Angels last Saturday and he threw a scoreless inning, surrendering just one hit.

Hendricks went 0-1 with a 1.38 ERA and an 0.85 WHIP in his last 12 appearances (eight starts). He hasn't given up a run in his last 11 1/3 innings of work. 

The Athletics scored 813 runs (4th in the majors). They are putting up 5.02 runs per game (4th), hitting .252 (13th) with 227 home runs (3rd).

Oakland ranked 11th with a 3.81 ERA, 5th with a 1.21 WHIP and 26th with 1237 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 3rd with a 3.37 ERA. 

Khris Davis led the Athletics with 48 home runs and 123 RBI. Matt Olson had 29 home runs and 84 RBI. Stephen Piscotty had 27 home runs and 88 RBI.

Yankees trust in their ace Severino 



Luis Severino (19-8, 3.39 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) gave up two earned runs on four hits in his last start. He also had three walks with seven strikeouts over five innings in a 9-2 win against the Rays on September 25.

Severino had rough patches this season. He still finished with excellent strikeout (28.2 percent) and walk (5.9 percent) rates. He allowed just four earned runs over 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts. 

The Yankees scored 851 runs (2nd in the majors). They are putting up 5.25 runs per game (2nd), hitting .249 (16th) with 267 home runs (1st).

New York ranked 10th with a 3.78 ERA, 6th with a 1.24 WHIP and 2nd with 1634 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 4th with a 3.38 ERA. 

Giancarlo Stanton led the Yankees with 38 home runs and 100 RBI. Miguel Andujar had 27 home runs, 92 RBI and team-bests with a .297 batting average and 170 hits. Didi Gregorius, Aaron Hicks and Aaron Judge hit 27 home runs each.  

 

Odds and News

 

MLB Trends:



 

The Oakland Athletics are:

4-11 in their last 15 postseason games

1-6 in their last seven postseason road games

1-4 in the last five meetings in New York

The New York Yankees are:

4-0 in their last four games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game

6-0 in their last six games following an off day

6-0 in their last six playoff home games

39-12 in their last 51 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game

11-4 in their last 15 games against American League West opponents

Luis Severino pitched well at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium this season. He went 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 15 starts. The A's don't have an ace to counter him. Liam Hendricks will open the game with Mike Fiers and Trevor Cahill to follow and the Yankees can hit them.

Fiers posted a 4.67 ERA in three starts against the Yankees this season. Cahill is just 1-4 with a 10.09 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) against them. The New York offense is heating up at the right time and they hit 10 home runs in six games against Oakland this season.

MLB Pick: Yankees -178 at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

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Tuesday, October 2, 2018

NL Wild Card Game: Rockies vs. Cubs Preview and Pick

NL Wild Card Game

NL Wild Card Game is Win and Your In



The Colorado Rockies battle the Chicago Cubs in the NL Wild Card game. The winner moves on to face the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLDS and the loser going home.

Tuesday, October 2 at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN.


Wrigley Field

Mostly Cloudy 65°F

Wind: 7mph  blowing out to left

Odds: Cubs are -133-moneyline favorites. The total is 7 Under -115.

 

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Freeland has won eight straight decisions 



Kyle Freeland (17-7, 2.85 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) takes the hill for the Rockies in this must-win contest. Freeland allowed two earned runs on 11 hits and a walk with four strikeouts in a 5-2 win against the Nationals last Friday.

He's 6-0 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in his last seven starts. The kid hasn't lost since August 1st.


The Rockies scored 780 runs (7th in the majors). They are putting up 4.80 runs per game (7th), hitting .256 (6th) with 208 home runs (9th).

Colorado ranked 20th with a 4.33 ERA, 17th with a 1.31 WHIP and 14th with 1399 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 26th with a 4.63 ERA.

Nolan Arenado led the Rockies with a .297 batting average, 38 home runs, 110 RBI and a .374 OBP. Trevor Story had 37 home runs and 108 RBI. Charlie Blackmon had 29 home runs, 70 RBI and a team-best 182 hits.

Lester has won three straight starts



Jon Lester (18-6, 3.32 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) starts for the Cubs. Lester threw six scoreless innings in a 3-0 win against the Pirates last Thursday. He surrendered three hits and four walks with three strikeouts.

The veteran left-hander is 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in his last seven starts. He's 3-0 in his last three starts, giving up just two earned runs in 18 innings of work, posting a 1.00 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP.

The Cubs  scored 761 runs (9th in the majors). They are putting up 4.69 runs per game (9th), hitting .258 (4th) with 166 home runs (23rd).

Chicago ranked 3rd with a 3.65 ERA, 18th with a 1.31 WHIP and 20th with 1327 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranked 2nd with a 3.34 ERA.

Javier Baez led the Cubs with 34 home runs, 111 RBI and 176 hits. Kyle Schwarber had 26 home runs and 61 RBI and Anthony Rizzo had 25 home runs and 101 RBI.

Odds and News

 

MLB Trends:



The Under is:

22-8 in Colorado's last 30 games against a left-handed starter

13-4 in Colorado's last 17 games following a loss

5-1 in Colorado's last six road games against a left-handed starter

4-1-1 in Colorado's last six road games against a team with a winning record

4-1-1 in Colorado's last six road games

13-3 in Freeland's last 16 starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game

21-7-2 in Freeland's last 30 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance

5-1 in Chicago's last six postseason home games

11-3 in Chicago's last 14 home games

11-4 in Chicago's last 15 home games against a team with a winning road record

5-2 in Lester's last seven home starts against a team with a winning record

4-0 in Lester's last four home starts against the Rockies

4-0 in Lester's last four starts against the Rockies

The Rockies are forced to play this Wild Card game in Chicago after losing in Los Angeles yesterday. The loss causes them to have back-to-back days with travel and time zone change involved.

Colorado will have their ace on the mound and the Chicago offense has been ice-cold lately. I'm looking at the Under, as Jon Lester has been just as dominant as Kyle Freeland as of late and the Rockies will be tired.

MLB Pick: Under 7 (-115) at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ

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